The impact of climate and wealth on energy consumption in small tropical islands

Julien Gargani
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Abstract

Anthropic activities have a significant causal effect on climatic change but climate has also major impact on human societies. Population vulnerability to natural hazards and limited natural resources are deemed problematic, particularly on small tropical islands. Lifestyles and activities are heavily reliant on energy consumption. The relationship between climatic variations and energy consumption must be clearly understood. We demonstrate that it is possible to determine the impact of climate change on energy consumption. In small tropical islands, the relationship between climate and energy consumption is primarily driven by air conditioner electricity consumption during hotter months. Temperatures above 26{\deg}C correlate with increased electricity consumption. Energy consumption is sensitive to: (1) climatic seasonal fluctuations, (2) cyclonic activity, (3) temperature warming over the last 20 years. On small tropical islands, demographic and wealth variations also have a significant impact on energy consumption. The relationship between climate and energy consumption suggests reconsidering the production and consumption of carbon-based energy.
气候和财富对热带小岛屿能源消耗的影响
人类活动对气候变化有重要的因果影响,但气候对人类社会也有重大影响。人口对自然灾害的脆弱性和有限的自然资源被认为是一个问题,尤其是在热带小岛上。生活方式和活动严重依赖能源消耗。必须清楚地了解气候变异与能源消耗之间的关系。我们证明,确定气候变化对能源消耗的影响是可能的。在小型热带岛屿上,气候与能源消耗之间的关系主要受炎热月份空调耗电量的影响。温度超过 26 摄氏度与耗电量增加相关。能源消耗对以下因素很敏感(1) 气候季节波动,(2) 气旋活动,(3) 过去 20 年的气温升高。在热带小岛上,人口和财富的变化对能源消耗也有显著影响。气候与能源消耗之间的关系建议重新考虑碳基能源的生产和消费。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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