Predictors of match performance in the South African Rugby Union Women's Premier Division

IF 1.5 4区教育学 Q3 HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM

International Journal of Sports Science & Coaching Pub Date : 2024-08-12 DOI:10.1177/17479541241270459

Nicola Sewry, Candice MacMillan, Willie Maree, Clint Readhead, Lynne Cantwell, Esme Jordaan, Sonja Swanevelder

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Abstract

PurposePerformance indicators in women's rugby union are under-researched. The aim of this study was to describe the match activities and determine the predictors for winning/losing and points difference in the South African Rugby Union (SARU) Women's Premier Division competition.MethodsDuring the 2021 and 2022 seasons, SARU-coded matches included 33 indicators (including attacking, defensive, set plays, and error categories) which were analysed for two outcome variables: winning/losing and points difference (points for MINUS points against).ResultsThe results of the study showed that for winning compared to losing, tries (OR = 6.48; p = 0.0001), goal kicking success % (OR = 1.03; p = 0.0245), and dominant tackles % (OR = 1.45; p = 0.0333) increased the odds of winning, whilst yellow cards decreased the odds (OR = 0.27; p = 0.0199). For points difference, Factor 1 (OR = 1.016) including variables related to clean breaks, tries and conversions thereof, were predictive of a larger points difference, whilst Factor 6 (positive tackles, lineout wins; OR = 0.958) favoured a close match/smaller points difference.ConclusionThe predictive indicators differed from those found in previous literature. However, there was little to no data available on women's rugby union to compare to, and therefore comparisons were made to men's rugby. More data and studies are required to confirm these findings.

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南非橄榄球联盟女子超级组比赛成绩的预测因素

目的对女子橄榄球联盟的绩效指标研究不足。本研究旨在描述南非橄榄球联盟（SARU）女子超级组比赛中的比赛活动，并确定胜负和分差的预测因素。方法在 2021 和 2022 赛季期间，SARU 编码的比赛包括 33 个指标（包括进攻、防守、套路和失误类别），这些指标针对两个结果变量进行了分析：胜负和分差（得分减去失分）。结果研究结果表明，与输球相比，获胜的概率中，射门次数（OR = 6.48；P = 0.0001）、射门成功率（OR = 1.03；P = 0.0245）和优势扑救率（OR = 1.45；P = 0.0333）会增加获胜的概率，而黄牌则会降低获胜的概率（OR = 0.27；P = 0.0199）。就分差而言，因素 1（OR = 1.016）包括与干净利落的突破、得分及其转换有关的变量，可预测较大的分差，而因素 6（积极的拦截、出界获胜；OR = 0.958）则有利于接近的比赛/较小的分差。然而，几乎没有关于女子橄榄球联盟的数据可与之比较，因此只能与男子橄榄球进行比较。需要更多的数据和研究来证实这些发现。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

International Journal of Sports Science & Coaching Multiple-

CiteScore

3.50

自引率

15.80%

发文量

208

期刊介绍： The International Journal of Sports Science & Coaching is a peer-reviewed, international, academic/professional journal, which aims to bridge the gap between coaching and sports science. The journal will integrate theory and practice in sports science, promote critical reflection of coaching practice, and evaluate commonly accepted beliefs about coaching effectiveness and performance enhancement. Open learning systems will be promoted in which: (a) sports science is made accessible to coaches, translating knowledge into working practice; and (b) the challenges faced by coaches are communicated to sports scientists. The vision of the journal is to support the development of a community in which: (i) sports scientists and coaches respect and learn from each other as they assist athletes to acquire skills by training safely and effectively, thereby enhancing their performance, maximizing their enjoyment of the sporting experience and facilitating character development; and (ii) scientific research is embraced in the quest to uncover, understand and develop the processes involved in sports coaching and elite performance.