Dynamics of a multi-strain HIV/AIDS epidemic model with treatment and its adherence

IF 2.9 3区 物理与天体物理 Q2 PHYSICS, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
Ashish Poonia, Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

This study presents a novel two-strain nonlinear mathematical model to assess the impact of treatment availability and adherence, on the spread of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) in a community. First, we establish the well-posedness of the proposed model in an epidemiological context. The basic reproduction number for both the strains is determined by the next-generation matrix approach. The local and global analysis of existent equilibrium points using stability and bifurcation theory suggests that the drug-sensitive infected population faces competitive exclusion at lower relative transmission rates of this strain. For higher relative transmission rates of the infection, both infected populations coexist for a long time. The system exhibits transcritical bifurcation and Hopf bifurcation at multiple points with respect to various model parameters. Finally, we validate all the analytical results with an extensive numerical analysis using MATLAB R2023b. In summary, this study provides various conditions for applying different strategies to control the overall disease burden from the system.

Abstract Image

Abstract Image

多菌株艾滋病毒/艾滋病流行病模型的动态变化与治疗及其依从性
本研究提出了一个新颖的双应变非线性数学模型,用于评估治疗的可得性和依从性对人类免疫缺陷病毒(HIV)在社区中传播的影响。首先,我们建立了流行病学背景下的模型。通过下一代矩阵方法确定两种病毒株的基本繁殖数量。利用稳定性和分岔理论对现有平衡点进行的局部和全局分析表明,在该菌株的相对传播率较低时,对药物敏感的感染人群会面临竞争排斥。在感染相对传播率较高的情况下,两个感染种群会长期共存。根据不同的模型参数,该系统在多个点上表现出跨临界分岔和霍普夫分岔。最后,我们使用 MATLAB R2023b 进行了大量数值分析,验证了所有分析结果。总之,这项研究为采用不同策略控制整个系统的疾病负担提供了各种条件。
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来源期刊
The European Physical Journal Plus
The European Physical Journal Plus PHYSICS, MULTIDISCIPLINARY-
CiteScore
5.40
自引率
8.80%
发文量
1150
审稿时长
4-8 weeks
期刊介绍: The aims of this peer-reviewed online journal are to distribute and archive all relevant material required to document, assess, validate and reconstruct in detail the body of knowledge in the physical and related sciences. The scope of EPJ Plus encompasses a broad landscape of fields and disciplines in the physical and related sciences - such as covered by the topical EPJ journals and with the explicit addition of geophysics, astrophysics, general relativity and cosmology, mathematical and quantum physics, classical and fluid mechanics, accelerator and medical physics, as well as physics techniques applied to any other topics, including energy, environment and cultural heritage.
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