A stochastic-demographic model to explain success and dominance in international sports

IF 1.2 Q3 ECONOMICS

Research in Economics Pub Date : 2024-08-24 DOI:10.1016/j.rie.2024.100990

Julian Alexander Klöcker, Frank Daumann

引用次数: 0

Abstract

We model a stochastic, demographic-based framework to examine how an empirically proven, so-called first mover advantage affects the long-term sporting success of states by considering, among other things, demographic developments and the accumulation of sport-related human capital. In order to clarify and formalize this advantage in a sports economics framework, we draw on the concept of the stochastic dominance. Since our model is dynamic, it allows us to show how the probability of success of a nation evolves and under which conditions the stochastic dominance reduces.

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解释国际体育赛事成功与主导地位的随机人口统计模型

我们建立了一个基于人口统计的随机框架模型，通过考虑人口发展和与体育相关的人力资本积累等因素，研究经验证明的所谓先发优势如何影响国家在体育方面的长期成功。为了在体育经济学框架内阐明并正式表述这一优势，我们借鉴了随机优势的概念。由于我们的模型是动态的，因此可以展示一个国家的成功概率是如何演变的，以及在哪些条件下随机优势会减弱。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Research in Economics ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

1.40

自引率

0.00%

发文量

审稿时长

89 days

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