Monitoring aboveground organs biomass of wheat and maize: A novel model combining ensemble learning and allometric theory

Abstract

Accurate monitoring of crop organ biomass facilitates optimizing agronomic strategies to maximize yield or economic benefit. Unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) is extensively employed for aboveground biomass (AGB) monitoring at the farm scale, but previous studies have mostly concentrated on total AGB rather than individual organ biomass. Furthermore, film-mulched crops, a widely used cropping pattern in northwest China, have received less attention for AGB monitoring. We aim to develop a novel model to precisely estimate the AGB of leaf (AGB_Leaf), stem (AGB_Stem), and reproductive organs (AGB_R) by UAV for film-mulched wheat and maize. The maize-wheat rotation field experiments with treatments of five nitrogen application amounts and three planting densities were conducted from 2021 to 2023, respectively. Firstly, we constructed allometric models at jointing, heading (tasseling), and grain filling stages by ground sampling data in 2021–2022. Next, the input feature set was obtained by feature selection methods (Lasso and Boruta) using UAV image data, and three traditional methods (partial least squares, ridge regression, and support vector machine) and three ensemble learning models (random forest, extreme gradient boosting, and local cascade ensemble (LCE)) were trained for AGB_Leaf inversion based on the physically-based PROSAIL model simulation dataset. Finally, the optimal AGB_Leaf inversion hybrid model was coupled with the allometric model to estimate the AGB_Stem and AGB_R in 2022–2023. The results indicated that both wheat and maize organ biomass conformed to the allometric pattern. While feature selection helped reduce computation and complexity, but didn’t improve monitoring accuracy. The normalized root mean square error (NRMSE) of the optimal hybrid model (PROSAIL + Boruta + LCE) on the measured wheat and maize AGB_Leaf datasets were 12.72 %–24.93 % and 19.65 %–25.16 %, respectively. After coupling the allometric model, the coefficient of determination (R²) of wheat and maize AGB_Stem were 0.64–0.85 and 0.63–0.68, and the NRMSE were 15.05 %–25.28 % and 24.10 %–27.06 %, respectively; and the corresponding R² of AGB_R was 0.67–0.76 and 0.72, and the NRMSE were 16.81 %–22.12 % and 21.66 %, for wheat and maize, respectively. Overall, the novel model performed well in film-mulched wheat and maize, providing a cost-effective approach for organ biomass monitoring. In the future, further validation of the model’s transferability is necessary to increase the potential for generalization in production practice.