Air travel during times of crisis: The role of social preferences and uncertainty

IF 6.3 2区工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS

Transport Policy Pub Date : 2024-09-02 DOI:10.1016/j.tranpol.2024.08.015

Laingo M. Randrianarisoa

引用次数: 0

Abstract

This paper investigates the role of social preferences and uncertainty for air travel demand, by linking experimentally validated measures of social preferences and uncertainty index to passenger data for 36 European countries from 2019 to 2022. The empirical analysis separates the effects of government restrictions from that of social preferences, while considering the impact of uncertainty surrounding the pandemic event. The results highlight the importance of accounting for the individuals’ social preferences when implementing aviation-related policy measures. The findings also reveal that uncertainty can trigger unexpected behaviour from the passengers, resulting in the ineffectiveness of public policies during times of crisis.

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危机时期的航空旅行：社会偏好和不确定性的作用

本文通过将经过实验验证的社会偏好和不确定性指数措施与 2019 年至 2022 年 36 个欧洲国家的乘客数据联系起来，研究了社会偏好和不确定性对航空旅行需求的作用。实证分析将政府限制的影响与社会偏好的影响分开，同时考虑了围绕大流行病事件的不确定性的影响。结果凸显了在实施航空相关政策措施时考虑个人社会偏好的重要性。研究结果还显示，不确定性会引发乘客的意外行为，导致公共政策在危机时期失效。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Transport Policy Multiple-

CiteScore

12.10

自引率

10.30%

发文量

282

期刊介绍： Transport Policy is an international journal aimed at bridging the gap between theory and practice in transport. Its subject areas reflect the concerns of policymakers in government, industry, voluntary organisations and the public at large, providing independent, original and rigorous analysis to understand how policy decisions have been taken, monitor their effects, and suggest how they may be improved. The journal treats the transport sector comprehensively, and in the context of other sectors including energy, housing, industry and planning. All modes are covered: land, sea and air; road and rail; public and private; motorised and non-motorised; passenger and freight.