Single Versus Double Lung Transplant in Older Adults: A Propensity-Matched Analysis.

Abstract

Background: Single lung transplantation (SLT) is associated with worse long-term outcomes than bilateral lung transplantation (BLT) but is often performed for older adults at risk of not tolerating BLT.

Research question: How do the outcomes of SLT and BLT compare among older adult recipients?

Study design and methods: The Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients database (2005-2022) was queried for lung transplant recipients aged ≥65 years. Patients were stratified by whether they underwent BLT or SLT, and propensity matched. Baseline characteristics and morbidity were compared with frequentist statistics. Survival was analyzed via Kaplan-Meier estimation. Risk factors for mortality were identified with Cox regression.

Results: Of 9,904 included patients, 4,829 (48.8%) underwent SLT. SLT patients had lower lung allocation scores (39.6 v. 40.6, p<0.001), more interstitial lung disease (74.4% v. 64.6%, p<0.001) and lower rates of bridging (0.7% v. 2.4%, p<0.001). Groups did not differ significantly by sex, body mass index, or donor characteristics. Propensity matching resulted in 2,539 patients in each group. On matched analysis, SLT patients had shorter lengths of stay (14 v. 18 d), lower reintubation rates (14.7% v. 19.8%), and less postoperative dialysis use (4.2% v. 6.4%) (all p<0.001). SLT patients had comparable survival at 30-days (97.6% v. 97.3%, p=0.414) and 1-year (85.5% v. 86.3%, p=0.496), but lower survival at 5-years (45.4% v. 53.4%, p<0.001) on matched analysis. SLT was a risk factor for 5-year mortality (adjusted hazard ratio: 1.19, p<0.001).

Interpretation: In older adults, SLT is associated with less morbidity and comparable early survival relative to BLT, but lower five-year survival. SLT is reasonable to perform in older adults at high risk for BLT.