Treatment reclassification in Canada from the Osteoporosis Canada 2023 clinical practice guidelines: the Manitoba BMD Registry

Abstract

Summary

Osteoporosis Canada 2023 clinical practice guidelines increase the number of individuals recommended or suggested for anti-osteoporosis pharmacotherapy by refining treatment guidance for those who fell within the 2010 guidelines’ moderate-risk category.

Purpose

In 2023, Osteoporosis Canada updated its 2010 clinical practice guidelines based upon consideration of fracture history, 10-year major osteoporotic fracture (MOF) risk, and BMD T-score in conjunction with age. The 2023 guidelines eliminated risk categories, including the moderate-risk group that did not provide clear treatment guidance. The current study was performed to appreciate the implications of the shift from 2010 risk categories to 2023 treatment guidance.

Methods

The study population consisted of 79,654 individuals age ≥ 50 years undergoing baseline DXA testing from January 1996 to March 2018. Each individual was assigned to mutually exclusive categories based on 2010 and 2023 guideline recommendations. Treatment qualification, 10-year predicted and 10-year observed MOF risk were compared.

Results

Treatment reclassification under the 2023 guidelines only affected 33.8% of individuals in the 2010 moderate-risk group, with 13.0% assigned to no treatment, 14.4% to suggest treatment, and 6.4% to recommend treatment. During the mean follow-up of 7.2 years, 6364 (8.0%) individuals experienced one or more incidents of MOF. The observed 10-year cumulative incidence of MOF in the study population was 10.5% versus the predicted 10.7% (observed to predicted mean calibration ratio 0.98, 95% CI 0.96–1.00). Individuals reclassified from 2010 moderate risk to 2023 recommend treatment were at greater MOF risk than those in the 2010 moderate-risk group assigned to 2023 suggest treatment or no treatment, but at lower risk than those in the 2010 high-risk group.

Conclusions

Osteoporosis Canada 2023 clinical practice guidelines affect individuals within the 2010 moderate-risk category, increasing the number for whom anti-osteoporosis pharmacotherapy is recommended or suggested. Increased treatment could reduce the population burden of osteoporotic fractures, though moderate-risk individuals now qualifying for treatment have a lower predicted and observed fracture risk than high-risk individuals recommended for treatment under the 2010 guidelines.