Prognostic value of neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio in patients with advanced pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma treated with systemic chemotherapy.

Abstract

Objectives: Although systemic chemotherapy for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) has made progress, ensuring long-term survival remains difficult. There are several reports on the usefulness of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in predicting the prognosis of PDAC, but few reports in systemic chemotherapy. We hereby investigated the usefulness of NLR in systemic chemotherapy for PDAC.

Materials and methods: A retrospective study was conducted on patients with advanced PDAC treated with first-line systemic chemotherapy. Cox regression hazards models were performed to analyze the association between baseline patient characteristics and the initial treatment response, and overall survival (OS).

Results: A total of 60 patients with PDAC were enrolled. At baseline, there were significant differences in NLR and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9), as well as the selection rate of combination chemotherapy, between patients with partial response or stable disease and those with progressive disease. Univariate and multivariate analysis showed that NLR < 3.10, combination chemotherapy, and CA19-9 < 1011 U/mL were significant and independent predictive factors of the initial treatment response. Meanwhile, NLR < 3.10 and combination chemotherapy were independently associated with longer OS. Moreover, OS was significantly prolonged in patients with NLR < 3.10, regardless of whether combination chemotherapy or monotherapy. Patients with NLR < 3.10 at baseline had a significantly higher conversion rate to third-line chemotherapy and a longer duration of total chemotherapy.

Conclusions: This study suggests that NLR may be a useful marker for predicting the initial treatment response to first-line chemotherapy and the prognosis for patients with advanced PDAC.