Association of food insecurity with MASLD prevalence and liver-related mortality.

Abstract

Background & aims: The global burden of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is growing. This study explores the association of food insecurity with MASLD prevalence and liver-related mortality (LRM) across the globe.

Methods: The study combines United Nations' country-level food security data with the MASLD data from the Global Burden of Disease study 2021. Mixed-effects linear regression models, accounting for country-level random effects, were used to assess associations of food security indicators with MASLD prevalence and LRM. The analyses were performed according to each country's socio-demographic index (SDI) status.

Results: In 2021, the median MASLD prevalence and liver-related mortality (MASLD-LRM) across 204 countries was 21.77% (14.14%-48.18%) and 2.92 per 100,000 (0.42-10.79) with the highest MASLD prevalence located in North Africa & Middle East (41.70%) and the lowest prevalence in high-income countries (17.31%). After adjustments for age, gender and SDI, higher MASLD prevalence was associated with increasing rates of obesity, type 2 diabetes and low physical activity (p <0.001). When analyses were performed based on SDI status, divergent patterns of MASLD prevalence were observed. In high SDI countries (socioeconomically more developed), MASLD prevalence was significantly higher in those in the top tertile of food insecurity compared to the bottom tertile (mean, 26.73% vs. 18.87%, p = 0.0001). In contrast, in low SDI countries (socioeconomically less developed), the opposite was true (19.45% vs. 24.96%, p = 0.0008). MASLD-LRM was associated with older age, obesity, and metabolic risks (p <0.001).

Conclusions: MASLD prevalence and MASLD-LRM exhibit significant geographical variability, which is influenced by clinicodemographic factors, and food insecurity. Targeted public health strategies which consider the socio-economic realities of each region are essential for mitigating the global burden of MASLD.

Impact and implications: Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) burden varies by region, influenced by food insecurity and healthcare access. In high socio-demographic index (SDI) countries, higher MASLD prevalence is linked to the consumption of low-quality, ultra-processed foods. Public health policies should focus on improving food quality, reducing unhealthy food consumption, and enhancing healthcare access. Conversely, in low SDI countries, while food insecurity can lead to outright deficiencies, the observed lower MASLD prevalence may also be partly attributable to underdiagnosis. In this context, limited healthcare access may have contributed to underestimation of the prevalence of MASLD. Therefore, country-specific policies should address both the issues related to poverty, as well as improving access to diagnostic modalities and healthcare infrastructure to ensure more accurate estimates of cases of MASLD in the specific country. Promoting physical activity is crucial in both high and low SDI countries to manage metabolic conditions associated with MASLD.