Performance of five cardiotocography classification templates in labor: a cohort study.

Abstract

Objective: New guidelines for the interpretation of cardiotocography (CTG) have been presented by FIGO in 2015 (FIGO-15) and by NICE in 2017 (NICE-17) and 2022 (NICE-22) In Sweden, a previous template from 2009 (SWE-09) was replaced in 2017 (SWE-17).The objective of the study was to compare these five different templates for CTG classification regarding sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values in identifying neonates with acidemia at birth (cord artery pH <7.10).

Methods: This is a historical cohort study including singleton births in Lund November 2015-February 2016, after spontaneous or induced labor at ≥34 completed gestational weeks with validated umbilical cord acid-base samples.Characteristics of cardiotocographic traces during the last hour before birth were reviewed by two independent assessors blinded to outcome. Each template was then used to classify the CTG as normal, suspicious, or pathological. Traces for which classification differed between the two assessors for any of the templates were assessed by a third assessor. The classification by majority (at least 2 of 3) was used for analyses.Main outcome measures were the sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values for each template to identify neonates with cord artery pH <7.10 by the classification pathological. In a secondary analysis, these outcome measures were calculated for the classifications suspicious + pathological together.

Results: SWE-09 and NICE-22 had significantly higher sensitivity (both 92%; 95% CI 79-98%) than NICE-17 (68%; 51-82%), FIGO-15 (42%; 26-59%) and SWE-17 (39%; 24-57%) to identify neonates with acidemia by the classification pathological. Specificity was significantly higher for SWE-17 (91%; 88-93%), FIGO-15 (90%; 88-93%) and NICE-17 (78%; 74-81%) than for NICE-22 (63%; 59-67%) and SWE-09 (62%; 58-66%). The positive predictive value of a pathological pattern ranged between 15% (SWE-09 and NICE-22) and 24% (FIGO-15), and negative predictive values between 95% (SWE-17) and 99% (SWE-09 and NICE-22). Combining suspicious and pathological patterns increased the sensitivity and decreased the specificity for all templates.

Conclusions: Current CTG interpretation templates either have low sensitivity to identify fetal acidemia or low specificity. Among current guidelines, NICE 2022 had the highest sensitivity to identify neonates with acidemia and is considered the safest current classification system. Efforts to further improve diagnostic precision are warranted.