Integrated management to achieve synergy in sugarcane production and quality in China

Abstract

Context

Sugar production in China is struggling to keep up with the increasing demand driven by rapid growth in sugar consumption. However, knowledge gap persists in terms of how to locate and concentrate the sugarcane production in advantageous areas to secure the production of high-quality sugarcane characterized by high sugar content, while also optimizing resource utilization.

Objective

The objective of the study was to explore the effects of environmental and management factors on sugarcane yield and quality (characterized by sugar content). Moreover, it sought to determine how China's future sugarcane needs could be met with fewer resource inputs through production optimization.

Methods

This study conducted a comprehensive search and compiled 411 groups of measured data from 64 peer-reviewed publications on sugarcane production in China. Additionally, a Random Forest model was developed based on trial data and farmer survey data to predict county-level sugarcane yield and quality in China. Taking into consideration China's projected sugarcane demand in 2030, this study proposed three sugarcane planting scenarios to explore potential pathways for future sugarcane production. These scenarios included: S0, where all sugarcane acreages maintain their current level of production; S1, where medium- and low-yield (or quality) fields transition into high- and medium-yield (or quality) fields; and S2, where all sugarcane acreages strive for both high yield and high quality.

Results

Results showed that overall field management could improve yield by 37.1 % and quality by 5.26 %. Soil organic matter (SOM), available phosphorus (AP), mean annual precipitation (MAP), and soil clay are the most important drivers of yield. pH, AP, total nitrogen (TN), and SOM are the most important drivers of quality. S2 scenario reduced land inputs by 11 %, nutrient inputs by 5 %, and irrigation inputs by 13 %, based on meeting future sugarcane demand in 2030.

Conclusions

By identifying and focusing on dominant planting areas, we can enhance the quality and efficiency of sugarcane cultivation as a response to China's future demand for sugarcane. This approach will not only meet future demands for sugarcane but also alleviate the dual pressures of limited resources and environmental concerns.

Significance

Our research provides a conceptual framework to enable China to meet its future sugar demand and consumption more efficiently and in an environmentally friendly manner, thereby conserving resources and reducing environmental impact.