How industrial robots affect labor income share in task model: Evidence from Chinese A-share listed companies

IF 12.9 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS
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Abstract

This paper analyses the impact of the use of industrial robots on labor income shares at both the theoretical and empirical levels. On the theoretical side, the role of induced technological progress, the creation of new tasks, and the penetration of industrial robots on labor income shares are systematically explored by incorporating industrial robots into task models and endogenizing the task induced technological progress. Empirically, industrial robot penetration at the regional level in China is constructed from the industrial robots data released by the International Federation of Robotics (IFR), which is matched with Chinese A-share listed companies in 2011–2019, and the causal strategy of Bartik-style instrumental variables is used to analyze the impact of the penetration of industrial robots and task induced technological progress on the share of labor income. The study shows that the penetration of industrial robots significantly increases the share of labor income, but the task induced technological progress reduces the share of labor income, and that the impact of the penetration of industrial robots varies significantly external financing dependence, ownership, and regions. From the perspective of the impact mechanism, robot penetration increase the levels of inputs complementarity and hence reduce the elasticity of substitution between robots and labor. Meanwhile, robots can effectively increase the wage level of the labor force, thus increasing the labor income share. The findings of this paper provide a decision-making reference for how industrial robots can better serve human beings in the new era so that workers can share the fruits of economic development.

工业机器人如何影响任务模型中的劳动收入份额?来自中国 A 股上市公司的证据
本文从理论和实证两个层面分析了工业机器人的使用对劳动收入份额的影响。在理论层面,通过将工业机器人纳入任务模型,并将任务诱导技术进步内生化,系统地探讨了诱导技术进步、新任务创造以及工业机器人普及率对劳动收入份额的作用。实证研究中,根据国际机器人联合会(IFR)发布的工业机器人数据构建了中国区域层面的工业机器人渗透率,并与2011-2019年中国A股上市公司的工业机器人数据进行匹配,采用巴蒂克式工具变量的因果关系策略分析了工业机器人渗透率和任务诱导技术进步对劳动收入占比的影响。研究表明,工业机器人的渗透显著提高了劳动收入占比,但任务诱导的技术进步降低了劳动收入占比,而且工业机器人渗透的影响在外部融资依赖度、所有制和地区之间存在显著差异。从影响机制来看,机器人的普及提高了投入的互补性,从而降低了机器人与劳动力之间的替代弹性。同时,机器人能有效提高劳动力的工资水平,从而增加劳动收入份额。本文的研究结果为新时期工业机器人如何更好地服务于人类,让劳动者共享经济发展成果提供了决策参考。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
21.30
自引率
10.80%
发文量
813
期刊介绍: Technological Forecasting and Social Change is a prominent platform for individuals engaged in the methodology and application of technological forecasting and future studies as planning tools, exploring the interconnectedness of social, environmental, and technological factors. In addition to serving as a key forum for these discussions, we offer numerous benefits for authors, including complimentary PDFs, a generous copyright policy, exclusive discounts on Elsevier publications, and more.
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