Assessing the variability in chlorophyll-a and covariates in Arabian Sea using ARIMAX model and wavelet coherence approaches

IF 3 3区 地球科学 Q2 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
Salman Tariq , Hafsa Shahzad , Zia Ul-Haq
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

The Arabian Sea is one of the most productive regions in the global ocean. In the present study, relationship of Chl-a with environmental parameters have been studied in the Arabian Sea. The Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average with explanatory variable (ARIMAX) models namely ARIMAX (1,0,1), ARIMAX (2,0,3), ARIMAX (5,0,4), ARIMAX (7,0,6), ARIMAX (8,0,8), ARIMAX (11,0,9) and ARIMAX (12,0,11) were tested. After evaluation, ARIMAX (2,0,3) and ARIMAX (12,0,11) were identified as the best fit models and can be used to model Chl-a in the Arabian Sea. Wavelet coherence approach was applied to understand the relationship of Chl-a with rainfall, sensible heat flux, remote sensing at 443 nm, aerosol optical depth, black carbon deposition and calcite concentration. Two strips of high correlation in the frequency bands of 4–8 and 8–16 significant at 95% level were observed in each wavelet coherence diagram except for remote sensing reflectance at 443 nm and sensible heat flux.

利用 ARIMAX 模型和小波相干性方法评估阿拉伯海叶绿素-a 和协变量的变异性
阿拉伯海是全球海洋中最富饶的区域之一。本研究对阿拉伯海 Chl-a 与环境参数的关系进行了研究。测试了带解释变量的自回归综合移动平均(ARIMAX)模型,即 ARIMAX (1,0,1)、ARIMAX (2,0,3)、ARIMAX (5,0,4)、ARIMAX (7,0,6)、ARIMAX (8,0,8)、ARIMAX (11,0,9) 和 ARIMAX (12,0,11)。经过评估,ARIMAX(2,0,3)和 ARIMAX(12,0,11)被确定为最佳拟合模型,可用于建立阿拉伯海 Chl-a 模型。应用小波相干法了解了 Chl-a 与降雨、显热通量、443 纳米波长遥感、气溶胶光学深度、黑碳沉积和方解石浓度的关系。在每个小波相干图中,除了 443 纳米波段的遥感反射率和显热通量外,4-8 和 8-16 频段的两个高相关性条带在 95% 的水平上显著。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Marine Chemistry
Marine Chemistry 化学-海洋学
CiteScore
6.00
自引率
3.30%
发文量
70
审稿时长
4.5 months
期刊介绍: Marine Chemistry is an international medium for the publication of original studies and occasional reviews in the field of chemistry in the marine environment, with emphasis on the dynamic approach. The journal endeavours to cover all aspects, from chemical processes to theoretical and experimental work, and, by providing a central channel of communication, to speed the flow of information in this relatively new and rapidly expanding discipline.
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