Integrating pretest probability for rheumatoid arthritis with likelihood ratios of RF and ACPA to improve clinical utility of rheumatoid arthritis autoantibody testing

Abstract

Background and aims

Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) manifests through various symptoms and systemic manifestations. Diagnosis involves serological markers like rheumatoid factor (RF) and anti-citrullinated protein antibodies (ACPA). Past studies have shown the added value of likelihood ratios (LRs) in result interpretation. LRs can be combined with pretest probability to estimate posttest probability for RA. There is a lack of information on pretest probability. This study aimed to estimate pretest probabilities for RA.

Materials and methods

This retrospective study included 133 consecutive RA patients and 651 consecutive disease controls presenting at a rheumatology outpatient clinic. Disease characteristics, risk factors associated with RA and laboratory parameters were documented for calculating pretest probabilities and LRs.

Results

Joint involvement, erosions, morning stiffness, and positive CRP, ESR tests significantly correlated with RA. Based on these factors, probabilities for RA were estimated. Besides, LRs for RA were established for RF and ACPA and combinations thereof. LRs increased with antibody levels and were highest for double high positivity. Posttest probabilities were estimated based on pretest probability and LR.

Conclusion

By utilizing pretest probabilities for RA and LRs for RF and ACPA, posttest probabilities were estimated. Such approach enhances diagnostic accuracy, offering laboratory professionals and clinicians insights in the value of serological testing during the diagnostic process.