Agreeing to disagree: Informativeness of sentiments in internet message boards

IF 4.8 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE
Thai Ton , Henry Leung , Yang Gao , Dirk Schiereck
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

We study the informativeness of the sentiment of posts on Australia's largest online stock message board, HotCopper. We explore whether disagreements among sentiment form a signal about the fundamental news of a company. We find that positive sentiment is associated with noise induced (uniformed) trading whereas negative sentiment contains value-relevant information about a firm's performance. Our empirical findings suggest that short selling activity reduces overreactions of abnormal returns in a noisy environment on the same day. Furthermore, we observe a sentiment convergence pattern around annual earnings announcements and low levels of sentiment homogeneity relate to significantly lower annual earnings surprise. This supports the view that disagreements among sentiments are a signal of bad news about firm fundamentals.

同意不同意:互联网留言板情绪的信息量
我们研究了澳大利亚最大的在线股票留言板 HotCopper 上帖子情绪的信息量。我们探讨了情绪之间的分歧是否会形成有关公司基本面消息的信号。我们发现,积极情绪与噪音诱导(统一)交易有关,而消极情绪则包含与公司业绩价值相关的信息。我们的实证研究结果表明,卖空活动可减少当日噪声环境下异常回报的过度反应。此外,我们观察到年度收益公告前后的情绪趋同模式,低水平的情绪同质性与显著降低的年度收益意外有关。这支持了一种观点,即情绪之间的分歧是公司基本面坏消息的信号。
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来源期刊
Pacific-Basin Finance Journal
Pacific-Basin Finance Journal BUSINESS, FINANCE-
CiteScore
6.80
自引率
6.50%
发文量
157
期刊介绍: The Pacific-Basin Finance Journal is aimed at providing a specialized forum for the publication of academic research on capital markets of the Asia-Pacific countries. Primary emphasis will be placed on the highest quality empirical and theoretical research in the following areas: • Market Micro-structure; • Investment and Portfolio Management; • Theories of Market Equilibrium; • Valuation of Financial and Real Assets; • Behavior of Asset Prices in Financial Sectors; • Normative Theory of Financial Management; • Capital Markets of Development; • Market Mechanisms.
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