Behavioral determinants of trust and commitment in horticultural cooperatives: Experimental evidence from Rwanda

Hanna Julia Ihli , Kai Mausch , Lisa Elena Fuchs
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Abstract

The Rwandan government emphasizes the role of cooperatives in transforming rural economies from subsistence farming to diversified commercial agriculture, including high-value export horticultural crops. The success of these cooperatives depends significantly on farmers’ willingness to join and remain committed members. Previous research indicates that Rwandan cooperatives often follow a top-down approach, which can lead to dissatisfaction, disagreement, and distrust among members. This dissatisfaction can undermine the cooperatives’ goals of improving farmer welfare, thereby adversely affecting their capacity to transform local livelihoods and economies. This study measures the trust and commitment levels of Rwandan smallholder farmers towards horticultural cooperatives using surveys and experiments. It provides empirical evidence on the extent, role, and determinants of trust and commitment, with a particular focus on behavioral determinants such as risk and time preferences. The findings show that while trust levels are relatively high, commitment levels are relatively low. Probit model estimations indicate that risk and time preferences influence farmers’ trust and commitment. Specifically, risk aversion decreases the predicted probability of trust and commitment, while greater patience increases the predicted probability of trust. No statistically significant relationship was found between behavior in an experimental trust game and survey responses regarding trust and commitment. The study's findings suggest several policy and practice implications, particularly the need to identify and implement strategies to enhance farmers' commitment to cooperatives.

园艺合作社信任和承诺的行为决定因素:卢旺达的实验证据
卢旺达政府强调合作社在农村经济转型中的作用,即从自给农作转变为多样化的商业农业,包括高价值的出口园艺作物。这些合作社的成功在很大程度上取决于农民是否愿意加入并继续成为忠实的成员。以往的研究表明,卢旺达的合作社通常采用自上而下的方式,这会导致成员之间的不满、分歧和不信任。这种不满会破坏合作社改善农民福利的目标,从而对合作社改变当地生计和经济的能力产生不利影响。本研究通过调查和实验来衡量卢旺达小农对园艺合作社的信任和承诺水平。它提供了有关信任和承诺的程度、作用和决定因素的经验证据,尤其侧重于风险和时间偏好等行为决定因素。研究结果表明,虽然信任度相对较高,但承诺度相对较低。Probit 模型估计表明,风险和时间偏好会影响农民的信任和承诺。具体来说,风险规避会降低信任和承诺的预测概率,而更大的耐心则会增加信任的预测概率。实验性信任游戏中的行为与有关信任和承诺的调查回答之间没有发现明显的统计学关系。研究结果表明了一些政策和实践方面的影响,特别是需要确定和实施一些战略,以增强农民对合作社的承诺。
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