Elvira D'Andrea, Sebastian Schneeweiss, Jessica M Franklin, Seoyoung C Kim, Robert J Glynn, Su Been Lee, Shirley V Wang
{"title":"Efficacy versus effectiveness: The HORIZON Pivotal Fracture Trial and its emulation in Claims Data.","authors":"Elvira D'Andrea, Sebastian Schneeweiss, Jessica M Franklin, Seoyoung C Kim, Robert J Glynn, Su Been Lee, Shirley V Wang","doi":"10.1002/art.42968","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objectives: </strong>To evaluate the concordance of results between the HORIZON-Pivotal Fracture Trial (PFT) and a non-randomized database study designed to emulate the trial.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>HORIZON-PFT evaluated the efficacy of zoledronic acid vs placebo in reducing the risk of hip fractures and found a 41% risk reduction over a 3-year treatment period (HR = 0.59; 95% CI 0.42 to 0.83). Using two U.S. claims databases from 08/2007 to 12/2020 or 06/2021 we applied eligibility criteria from HORIZON-PFT and identified women with osteoporosis who initiated zoledronic acid or raloxifene as a proxy for placebo. The study protocol was registered on ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT04736693) before inferential analyses. We compared HORIZON-PFT and database study results using prespecified metrics.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Due to low adherence in clinical practice, on-treatment follow up was truncated at 18 months in the database study. The hip fracture risk after 18 months was 9.3/1000 in the trial and 8.3/1000 in the database analysis. In the database study, zoledronic acid was associated with a 28% reduction in hip fractures risk compared to raloxifene (HR = 0.72; 95% CI 0.51 to 0.92). The attenuated effect of zoledronic acid in the database study may be explained by its shorter follow-up, as the interpolated estimate of the effect in HORIZON-PFT at 18 months was HR<sub>RCT</sub> 0.74, nearly identical to the observational estimate HR<sub>database</sub> 0.72.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Real-world emulation of the HORIZON-PFT found that zoledronic acid reduced hip fractures risk over an 18-month follow-up period. Limited adherence in clinical practice diminished the magnitude of its preventive effect and precluded long-term estimation of effectiveness in this setting.</p>","PeriodicalId":129,"journal":{"name":"Arthritis & Rheumatology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":11.4000,"publicationDate":"2024-08-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Arthritis & Rheumatology","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1002/art.42968","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"RHEUMATOLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Objectives: To evaluate the concordance of results between the HORIZON-Pivotal Fracture Trial (PFT) and a non-randomized database study designed to emulate the trial.
Methods: HORIZON-PFT evaluated the efficacy of zoledronic acid vs placebo in reducing the risk of hip fractures and found a 41% risk reduction over a 3-year treatment period (HR = 0.59; 95% CI 0.42 to 0.83). Using two U.S. claims databases from 08/2007 to 12/2020 or 06/2021 we applied eligibility criteria from HORIZON-PFT and identified women with osteoporosis who initiated zoledronic acid or raloxifene as a proxy for placebo. The study protocol was registered on ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT04736693) before inferential analyses. We compared HORIZON-PFT and database study results using prespecified metrics.
Results: Due to low adherence in clinical practice, on-treatment follow up was truncated at 18 months in the database study. The hip fracture risk after 18 months was 9.3/1000 in the trial and 8.3/1000 in the database analysis. In the database study, zoledronic acid was associated with a 28% reduction in hip fractures risk compared to raloxifene (HR = 0.72; 95% CI 0.51 to 0.92). The attenuated effect of zoledronic acid in the database study may be explained by its shorter follow-up, as the interpolated estimate of the effect in HORIZON-PFT at 18 months was HRRCT 0.74, nearly identical to the observational estimate HRdatabase 0.72.
Conclusion: Real-world emulation of the HORIZON-PFT found that zoledronic acid reduced hip fractures risk over an 18-month follow-up period. Limited adherence in clinical practice diminished the magnitude of its preventive effect and precluded long-term estimation of effectiveness in this setting.
期刊介绍:
Arthritis & Rheumatology is the official journal of the American College of Rheumatology and focuses on the natural history, pathophysiology, treatment, and outcome of rheumatic diseases. It is a peer-reviewed publication that aims to provide the highest quality basic and clinical research in this field. The journal covers a wide range of investigative areas and also includes review articles, editorials, and educational material for researchers and clinicians. Being recognized as a leading research journal in rheumatology, Arthritis & Rheumatology serves the global community of rheumatology investigators and clinicians.