Navigating the Predictive Landscape: DiaRem's Role in Unveiling Outcomes for Diabetes Remission following ESG.

Abstract

Purpose: Rising obesity and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) rates can be mitigated by various strategies, with a 10% total body weight loss (TBWL) threshold often required for T2DM remission. T2DM remission rates after bariatric surgery like Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (RYGB) are well established; endoscopic sleeve gastroplasty (ESG) is a less invasive option that averages 15% TBWL and allows for T2DM remission. This study explores the DiaRem (Diabetes Remission post-RYGB) score's ability to predict T2DM remission 1-year post-ESG.

Materials and methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study on 39 individuals with T2DM who underwent ESG. Age, utilization of diabetes medications, insulin administration, and hemoglobin A1c levels were used to calculate the DiaRem score. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was employed to evaluate the discriminative ability of DiaRem in distinguishing diabetes remission.

Results: Among the 39 patients with a median hemoglobin A1c of 6.7, 12.8% required insulin, and 43.6% used diabetes medication. At 1-year post-ESG, 69.2% of patients experienced diabetes remission with a median %TWBL of 12.7. The DiaRem score's ability to detect diabetes resolution for ESG patients had a sensitivity of 100% and a specificity of 58.3%, at the optimal cutoff value of 10. The AUC was 0.779 (95% CI 0.546-0.959).

Conclusion: Our study demonstrated the DiaRem score's predictive value for T2DM remission post-ESG, highlighting its utility in clinical decision-making for ESG-related outcomes. Further investigation is needed to identify alternative indicators that may enhance predictive accuracy, thus refining personalized decision-making for this patient group.