Role of national regime ideology for predicting biodiversity outcomes.

IF 5.2 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION
Jacob Jones, Andrea S Griffin, Frank W Agbola, Matt W Hayward
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

The rapid decline of global biodiversity has engendered renewed debate about the social, economic, and political factors contributing to it. Specifically, there is little understanding of the role that political ideology within a country (e.g., nationalism, conservatism, socialism) plays in determining biodiversity outcomes. We used negative binomial generalized linear models to investigate the importance of national regime ideology in predicting threatened animal species and protected area establishment compared with other factors that affect biodiversity outcomes, such as gross domestic product, inequality, and democracy. For threatened animals, the model with the highest Akaike weight suggested adverse biodiversity outcomes arose from larger gross domestic product (β = 0.120, p < 0.001). However, nationalism (β = 0.371, p < 0.01) and socialism (β = 0.293, p < 0.05) were also significantly associated with increased proportions of threatened species. For protected areas, the model with the highest Akaike weight suggested increases in democracy (β = 0.880, p < 0.001) led to a rise in relative protected area estate. Conservative regime ideology was also associated with greater protected area estate, although this did not increase the weight of evidence in support of the best models. These findings highlight the relevance of political ideology for predicting biodiversity outcomes at a national scale and illustrate opportunities to tailor policies and advocacy to promote biodiversity conservation more effectively. By targeting appropriate messaging and political advocacy, conservationists can improve the likelihood that politicians and their nations will participate in positive biodiversity actions.

国家制度意识形态对预测生物多样性结果的作用。
全球生物多样性的迅速减少引发了有关社会、经济和政治因素的新讨论。具体而言,人们对一个国家的政治意识形态(如民族主义、保守主义、社会主义)在决定生物多样性结果方面所起的作用知之甚少。与国内生产总值、不平等和民主等影响生物多样性结果的其他因素相比,我们使用负二项广义线性模型来研究国家政权意识形态在预测受威胁动物物种和保护区建立方面的重要性。就受威胁动物而言,Akaike 权重最高的模型表明,生物多样性的不利结果源于较高的国内生产总值(β = 0.120,p.
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来源期刊
Conservation Biology
Conservation Biology 环境科学-环境科学
CiteScore
12.70
自引率
3.20%
发文量
175
审稿时长
2 months
期刊介绍: Conservation Biology welcomes submissions that address the science and practice of conserving Earth's biological diversity. We encourage submissions that emphasize issues germane to any of Earth''s ecosystems or geographic regions and that apply diverse approaches to analyses and problem solving. Nevertheless, manuscripts with relevance to conservation that transcend the particular ecosystem, species, or situation described will be prioritized for publication.
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