Predischarge Peak Atrial Longitudinal Strain and Plasma N-terminal Pro-hormone Brain Natriuretic Peptide as a Predictor of Short-term Rehospitalization and Cardiovascular Mortality in Patients with Acute Heart Failure.

Abstract

Context: The postacute heart failure (AHF) rehospitalization rate is attributed to persistent hemodynamic congestion despite clinical improvement. Peak atrial longitudinal strain (PALS), utilizing speckle tracking echocardiography technology, shows potential in post-AHF prognosis. Meanwhile, N-terminal pro-hormone brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) remains a known biomarker of intracardiac congestion.

Aims: This study aimed to determine the relationship between predischarge PALS and NT-proBNP as predictors of major adverse cardiac event (MACE) in patients after AHF hospitalization.

Settings and design: This study is a prospective cohort study, conducted in Prof. Dr. I G.N.G Ngoerah Hospital, Bali, Indonesia.

Subjects and methods: The study included hospitalized AHF patients, collecting demographic data, comorbidities, therapies, and echocardiographic measures before discharge. Predischarge PALS and NT-proBNP were taken within 24 h before discharge. The main outcome was MACE, defined as rehospitalization and cardiovascular mortality within 90 days.

Statistical analysis used: Comparative statistical analyses was done using independent t-test for continuous variables (Mann-Whitney U test for variables with abnormal distribution) and Chi-squared tests. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) used in determining optimal threshold values of predischarge PALS and NT-proBNP as a predictor of MACE. Kaplan-Meier curves were employed to gauge event-free survival differences between these cohorts. Then, independent Cox regression was used to identify the predictors of MACE.

Results: The study enrolled 67 patients with varying ejection fraction (EF) (16 - heart failure with preserved ejection fraction, 10 - heart failure with mildly reduced ejection fraction, and 41 - heart failure with reduced ejection fraction; mean age: 56.88 ± 14.57 years). Over the 90-day follow-up, 21 patients (31.3%) encountered MACE. Both PALS (area under the curve [AUC] 0.816) and NT-proBNP (AUC 0.856) before discharge served as predictors of MACE. There was no significant AUC difference between ROC curves (area difference: 0.039, P = 0.553). The regression model highlighted that PALS and NT-proBNP level before discharge acted as independent predictors of MACE, irrespective of EF, average E/e', or estimated predischarge pulmonary capillary wedge pressure.

Conclusions: Predischarge PALS is comparable to NT-proBNP levels as independent predictors of short-term MACE after AHF hospitalization.