Study on the contributions of 2D and 3D urban morphologies to the thermal environment under local climate zones

Abstract

With the changes in global climate and rapid urbanization, identifying the contribution of urban morphology to the thermal environment under different scenarios could be helpful in proposing differentiated optimization responses of different scenarios for improving the thermal environment by means of natural cooling. This study calculated 2D and 3D metrics and retrieved surface temperature based on building vector data, land use, electronic map, the remote sensing images. Then, the study of spatial scale sensitivity was developed to build a nested multi-scale Local Climate Zone (LCZ) (NMSLCZ) map. Finally, the eXtreme Gradient Boost (XGBoost) regression model was performed to explore the relative contributions of 2D and 3D morphologies of different LCZ scenarios to surface temperatures. The results of scale sensitivity analysis showed the size of the optimal spatial scale decreased with the increase in building height. The 3D morphologies show more significant effects on LST variations than 2D morphologies. The surface temperature mainly by built type is significantly higher than that mainly by land cover type. Scenarios representing dense trees, shrubs, low vegetation, and water have significant cooling effects. In the scenarios of built types, the surface temperature of compact and large low-rise buildings is higher than that of the other building forms. Our findings provide a new perspective for LCZ mapping of scale optimization of the thermal environment. Meanwhile, the contributions of 2D and 3D morphologies on LSTs could help urban planners and managers understand the impacts of climate change and propose relevant strategies toward sustainable cities.