Sustainable development goals under threat: the impact of inflation on construction projects

Andrew Ebekozien, C. Aigbavboa, W. Thwala, Mohamed Ahmed Hafez, M. Samsurijan
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Abstract

PurposeDespite advancements in construction digitalisation and alternative building technologies, cost overrun is still a challenge in the construction industry. The inflation rate is increasing, especially in developing countries, and is critical in cost overrun matters. It can deviate construction built-up rate components. This may thwart improving construction-related Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Studies concerning the impact of the inflation rate on construction-related SDGs are scarce in developing countries, including Nigeria. The study investigated the impact of inflation on Nigeria’s construction projects and their outcome on SDGs and suggested possible ways to improve achievement of construction-related SDGs and their targets.Design/methodology/approachThe researchers employed a qualitative research design. This is because of the study’s unexplored dimension. The researchers engaged 35 participants across major cities in Nigeria via semi-structured virtual and face-to-face interviews. The research utilised a thematic method for collated data and accomplished saturation.FindingsFindings reveal that the impact of inflation on construction projects, if not checked, could hinder achieving construction-related SDGs in Nigeria. This is because of the past three years of hyperinflation that cut across major construction components. It shows that the upward inflation rate threatens achieving construction-related SDGs and proffered measures to mitigate inflation and, by extension, enhance achieving construction-related SDGs. This includes a downward review of the Monetary Policy Rate, control of exchange rate volatility and addressing insecurity to restore FDIs and FPIs confidence.Originality/valueBesides suggesting possible solutions to mitigate hyperinflation on construction components to improve achieving construction-related SDGs, findings will stipulate government policymakers put measures in place through favourable fiscal and monetary policy implementation and encourage moving from a consumption to a production nation.
受到威胁的可持续发展目标:通货膨胀对建筑项目的影响
目的尽管建筑数字化和替代建筑技术不断进步,但成本超支仍是建筑行业面临的一项挑战。通货膨胀率正在上升,尤其是在发展中国家,这对成本超支问题至关重要。它可能会偏离建筑成本的组成部分。这可能会阻碍改善与建筑相关的可持续发展目标(SDGs)。在包括尼日利亚在内的发展中国家,有关通货膨胀率对建筑业相关可持续发展目标影响的研究很少。本研究调查了通货膨胀对尼日利亚建筑项目的影响及其对可持续发展目标的影响,并提出了改进实现建筑相关可持续发展目标及其具体目标的可能方法。这是因为该研究的维度尚未被探索。研究人员通过半结构化虚拟访谈和面对面访谈的方式,与尼日利亚各大城市的 35 名参与者进行了接触。研究结果研究结果表明,如果不加以控制,通货膨胀对建筑项目的影响可能会阻碍尼日利亚实现与建筑相关的可持续发展目标。这是因为过去三年的恶性通货膨胀贯穿了主要的建筑组成部分。报告显示,通货膨胀率的上升威胁到与建筑相关的可持续发展目标的实现,并提出了缓解通货膨胀的措施,进而促进与建筑相关的可持续发展目标的实现。这包括下调货币政策利率、控制汇率波动和解决不安全问题,以恢复外国直接投资和外国证券投资商的信心。原创性/价值除了提出可能的解决方案来缓解建筑行业的恶性通货膨胀,从而更好地实现与建筑相关的可持续发展目标外,研究结果还将建议政府决策者通过实施有利的财政和货币政策来落实各项措施,并鼓励从消费型国家向生产型国家转变。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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