Research on the Driving Behavior and Decision-Making of Autonomous Vehicles (AVs) in Mixed Traffic Flow by Integrating Bilayer-GRU-Att and GWO-XGBoost Models

Abstract

The continuous increase in the penetration rate of autonomous vehicles in highway traffic flow has become an irreversible development trend; in this paper, a novel hybrid prediction model of deep sequence learning and an integrated decision tree is proposed for human–machine mixed driving heterogeneous traffic flow scenarios, so as to realize the accurate prediction of the driving intention of the target vehicle in the traffic environment by autonomous vehicles (AVs). Firstly, the hybrid model uses the attention mechanism-based double-layer gated network model (Bilayer-GRU-Att) to effectively capture the time sequence dependence of the target vehicle’s driving state, and then accurately calculate its trajectory data in different prediction time-domains (tpred). Furthermore, the hybrid model introduces the eXtreme Gradient Boosting decision tree optimized by the Grey Wolf Optimization model (GWO-XGBoost) to identify the lane-changing intention of the target vehicle, because the prediction information of the future trajectory data of the target vehicle by the aforementioned Bilayer-GRU-Att model is properly integrated. The GWO-XGBoost model can accurately predict the lane-changing intention of the target vehicle in different prediction time-domains. Finally, the efficacy of this hybrid model was tested using the HighD dataset for training, validation, and testing purposes. The results of a benchmark analysis indicate that the hybrid model proposed in this paper has the best error evaluation index and balanced prediction time consuming index under the six prediction time-domains. Meanwhile, the hybrid model demonstrates the best classifying performance in predicting the lane-changing intentions of “turning left”, “going straight”, and “turning right” driving behaviors.