{"title":"A probabilistic approach for risk assessment of moisture-related degradation of building envelopes","authors":"Bona Ryan, David N. Bristow, P. Mukhopadhyaya","doi":"10.1177/17442591241261078","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The performance and durability of wood-frame building envelopes is affected by long-term moisture transport and its impact. Despite considerable progress in deterministic and prescriptive methodologies aimed at estimating moisture deposition and the consequent risk of mold growth, a consensus in methodology applicable to the analysis of moisture risk in building enclosures is an unfinished agenda. This might partly be caused by uncertainties that exist due to variations in input parameters, model structure, and data scarcity. To address this issue, this study presents a probabilistic risk assessment of building envelope deterioration from moisture accumulation. The proposed methodology integrates the development of meta-models, a full-factorial response surface methodology, and Bayesian analysis. The effectiveness of the proposed approach is demonstrated through a parametric analysis of typical wall assemblies featuring diverse layers and boundary conditions. The findings highlight the influence of input variables and their relative significance on moisture accumulation in the selected climate zones. Additionally, a sensitivity analysis of model parameters and the application of Bayesian analysis in specific contexts are presented, facilitating comparative evaluation of moisture-related risk of building envelopes.","PeriodicalId":1,"journal":{"name":"Accounts of Chemical Research","volume":"4 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":16.4000,"publicationDate":"2024-07-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Accounts of Chemical Research","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1177/17442591241261078","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"化学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
The performance and durability of wood-frame building envelopes is affected by long-term moisture transport and its impact. Despite considerable progress in deterministic and prescriptive methodologies aimed at estimating moisture deposition and the consequent risk of mold growth, a consensus in methodology applicable to the analysis of moisture risk in building enclosures is an unfinished agenda. This might partly be caused by uncertainties that exist due to variations in input parameters, model structure, and data scarcity. To address this issue, this study presents a probabilistic risk assessment of building envelope deterioration from moisture accumulation. The proposed methodology integrates the development of meta-models, a full-factorial response surface methodology, and Bayesian analysis. The effectiveness of the proposed approach is demonstrated through a parametric analysis of typical wall assemblies featuring diverse layers and boundary conditions. The findings highlight the influence of input variables and their relative significance on moisture accumulation in the selected climate zones. Additionally, a sensitivity analysis of model parameters and the application of Bayesian analysis in specific contexts are presented, facilitating comparative evaluation of moisture-related risk of building envelopes.
期刊介绍:
Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance.
Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.