Assessing the viability of sustainable nuclear energy development in belt and road initiative countries

IF 4.4 2区工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS

Energy for Sustainable Development Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI:10.1016/j.esd.2024.101519

Ali Hashemizadeh , Weili Liu , Faezeh Zareian Baghdad Abadi

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Besides solar and wind energy sources for achieving sustainable energy generation, developing nuclear energy (NU) could be crucial. With recent technological improvements, NU's significance as an effective agent for improving environmental quality is enhanced. Added to the technological point of view, the impressive NU potentials of Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) nations make these countries a significant region to asses NU development. Also, China has considerable technological capabilities to expand NU development in viable BRI countries. To assess the viability of BRI countries for sustainable NU development, this research presents a strategic assessment framework considering ecological and economic aspects. First, we establish a customized evaluation system based on NU features, including economic basis, electricity market, political index, social affluence, ecological metrics and NU potentials criteria. Secondly, multi-dimensional verbal distribution judgment sets were constructed to gather experts' assessment opinions. Then, we rank the BRI countries in terms of their suitability for sustainable NU development considering their experience in NU technology. Finally, sensitivity analyses are used to validate the proposed framework. The results suggest India, Indonesia, and Singapore are the top alternatives for NU development. The obtained findings can assist Chinese and BRI countries' authorities in developing win-win international cooperation.

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评估 "一带一路 "倡议国家核能可持续发展的可行性

要实现可持续能源生产，除了太阳能和风能之外，发展核能（NU）也至关重要。随着近来技术的进步，核能作为改善环境质量的有效手段，其意义更加重大。从技术角度看，"一带一路 "倡议（BRI）国家的核能潜力巨大，使这些国家成为评估核能发展的重要地区。此外，中国拥有雄厚的技术实力，可在可行的 "一带一路 "倡议国家扩大核大国的发展。为评估 "金砖四国 "在可持续核大国发展方面的可行性，本研究提出了一个考虑生态和经济方面的战略评估框架。首先，我们根据非盟的特点建立了一个定制的评估体系，包括经济基础、电力市场、政治指数、社会富裕程度、生态指标和非盟潜力标准。其次，构建多维度口头分布判断集，收集专家的评估意见。然后，根据金砖四国在核电技术方面的经验，对其是否适合可持续核电发展进行排序。最后，我们使用敏感性分析来验证所提出的框架。结果表明，印度、印度尼西亚和新加坡是最适合发展核大国的国家。这些结论有助于中国和金砖国家当局开展双赢的国际合作。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Energy for Sustainable Development ENERGY & FUELS-ENERGY & FUELS

CiteScore

8.10

自引率

9.10%

发文量

187

审稿时长

6-12 weeks

期刊介绍： Published on behalf of the International Energy Initiative, Energy for Sustainable Development is the journal for decision makers, managers, consultants, policy makers, planners and researchers in both government and non-government organizations. It publishes original research and reviews about energy in developing countries, sustainable development, energy resources, technologies, policies and interactions.