Weiyi Zhang, Guangcheng Zhang, Jingyi Sun, Feifei Chen, Yiliang Liu
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引用次数: 0
Abstract
Studying the formation mechanisms and influencing factors of typical regional landslides is a crucial step in landslide control and disaster prediction. The mechanism of formation and the influence of hydrodynamic factors on accumulated landslides in the Three Gorges Reservoir have always been a focus of attention. Although rainfall and reservoir water level factors interact with each other, refining the impact areas and characteristics of these two factors will be beneficial for future research on accumulated landslides in the Three Gorges Reservoir area. Taking the Sanmendong landslide as an example and relying on its geological background and professional monitoring data, this study employs gray correlation analysis to analyze the sensitivity between changes in hydrodynamic factors and changes in landslide safety factor. It discusses the regions affected by rainfall and the descending speed of the reservoir water level under different conditions, as well as the changing patterns of data. The ILF-FFT landslide prediction model is utilized to study the relationship between real monitoring data of the Sanmendong landslide and fluctuations in hydrodynamic factors, obtaining the weight coefficients of hydrodynamic factors in the model and separating the fluctuation curve under the influence of rainfall and reservoir water level fluctuations. A comparative analysis of the contribution of hydrodynamic factors to the deformation of the Sanmendong landslide is conducted. The results indicate that the overall deformation of the Sanmendong landslide is more sensitive to rainfall factors, and as the descending speed of the reservoir water level increases, its sensitivity to landslide deformation will also increase. The local deformation of the landslide toe is greatly affected by the factors of reservoir water level descent, and with the increase of the descending speed of the reservoir water level, the correlation results also increase. It is important to note that there is a sudden change in the correlation results at a descending speed of 1.0 m/d in the local stability analysis, which is related to the most dangerous sliding surface identified in the simulation calculation and requires special attention during the process of reservoir water level descent. Furthermore, the deformation of the landslide toe in Sanmendong is greatly affected by the descent of the reservoir water level, while the deformation of the landslide head is more influenced by rainfall factors.
期刊介绍:
Landslides are gravitational mass movements of rock, debris or earth. They may occur in conjunction with other major natural disasters such as floods, earthquakes and volcanic eruptions. Expanding urbanization and changing land-use practices have increased the incidence of landslide disasters. Landslides as catastrophic events include human injury, loss of life and economic devastation and are studied as part of the fields of earth, water and engineering sciences. The aim of the journal Landslides is to be the common platform for the publication of integrated research on landslide processes, hazards, risk analysis, mitigation, and the protection of our cultural heritage and the environment. The journal publishes research papers, news of recent landslide events and information on the activities of the International Consortium on Landslides.
- Landslide dynamics, mechanisms and processes
- Landslide risk evaluation: hazard assessment, hazard mapping, and vulnerability assessment
- Geological, Geotechnical, Hydrological and Geophysical modeling
- Effects of meteorological, hydrological and global climatic change factors
- Monitoring including remote sensing and other non-invasive systems
- New technology, expert and intelligent systems
- Application of GIS techniques
- Rock slides, rock falls, debris flows, earth flows, and lateral spreads
- Large-scale landslides, lahars and pyroclastic flows in volcanic zones
- Marine and reservoir related landslides
- Landslide related tsunamis and seiches
- Landslide disasters in urban areas and along critical infrastructure
- Landslides and natural resources
- Land development and land-use practices
- Landslide remedial measures / prevention works
- Temporal and spatial prediction of landslides
- Early warning and evacuation
- Global landslide database