Hazard assessment of dynamic marine processes during two extreme weather systems near the Shandong Peninsula

Abstract

Typhoons and extratropical cyclones both occurred frequently on the Shandong Peninsula and have induced severe dynamic marine disasters. In this study, the typhoons and extratropical cyclones that occurred from 1979 to 2018 were counted and classified according to their tracks. We simulated the storm surge and disastrous waves using a coupled ocean-wave model and assessed the hazard distribution under different types of typhoons and extratropical cyclones. Through comparison, it was found that the southern Yellow Sea steering type typhoons and Yangtze-Huai cyclones occurred most frequently and were most likely to cause disasters. Regarding the hazard posed by the storm surge, there was a clear demarcation between the northern and southern coasts of the peninsula, as well as between the eastern and western coasts. The western coast of the peninsula was more exposed to storm surges induced by typhoons, while the northern coast of the peninsula was more exposed to storm surges induced by extratropical cyclones. The hazard posed by waves exhibited a localized characteristic. The wave hazard was the greatest near the peninsula cape and the lowest surrounding the Laizhou Bay, which was contrary to the distribution of the storm surge hazard. The identification of key management areas for disasters provides basic data and a technical reference for coastal development planning and can play a positive role in disaster prevention.