{"title":"The potential role of insolation in the long-term climate evolution since the early Pleistocene","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.gloplacha.2024.104526","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The distribution of insolation over time and space is a significant driver of climate change on orbital timescales. However, the influence of insolation on long-term climate evolution remains poorly understood due to the absence of a discernible long-term trend regulated by Earth's orbit. In this study, we present a sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA) stack spanning the past 2 Myr, compiled from 26 millennial-resolved records obtained from the global ocean. The global average sea surface temperature (SST) reveals a 405-kyr cycle, as well as a gradual decrease of 2.34 ± 1.05 °C (1σ) from 2000 ka to 940 ka, followed by a period of relative stability. We introduce an index named the integral of annual mean insolation anomaly (IAMIA), which quantifies the continuous departure of annual mean insolation (AMI) from its “normal” cycle over a specific time interval. We find that the SST leads the variations in AMI and IAMIA at the 405-kyr band, intimating that the cycle evident in global SST does not originate from the changes of eccentricity but rather stems from harmonic or combination tones. Notably, IAMIA exhibits a fundamental shift at 935 ka, coinciding with the “900-ka event” observed in the SST. Modeling results support that the “900-ka event” could be driven by the change of cumulative insolation. Additionally, IAMIA underscores the important role of insolation in Pleistocene climate change on the long-term trend through the cumulative response of ocean heat content (OHC) to successive small step-wise insolation changes. Furthermore, we hypothesize that the fundamental changes of insolation around 935 ka, transitioning from a positive state characterized by substantial amplitude to a negative state typified by diminished amplitude, facilitated the onset and progression of the mid-Pleistocene transition (MPT). This investigation provides invaluable insights into the role of insolation in long-term climate evolution.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":55089,"journal":{"name":"Global and Planetary Change","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-07-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Global and Planetary Change","FirstCategoryId":"89","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818124001735","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
The distribution of insolation over time and space is a significant driver of climate change on orbital timescales. However, the influence of insolation on long-term climate evolution remains poorly understood due to the absence of a discernible long-term trend regulated by Earth's orbit. In this study, we present a sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA) stack spanning the past 2 Myr, compiled from 26 millennial-resolved records obtained from the global ocean. The global average sea surface temperature (SST) reveals a 405-kyr cycle, as well as a gradual decrease of 2.34 ± 1.05 °C (1σ) from 2000 ka to 940 ka, followed by a period of relative stability. We introduce an index named the integral of annual mean insolation anomaly (IAMIA), which quantifies the continuous departure of annual mean insolation (AMI) from its “normal” cycle over a specific time interval. We find that the SST leads the variations in AMI and IAMIA at the 405-kyr band, intimating that the cycle evident in global SST does not originate from the changes of eccentricity but rather stems from harmonic or combination tones. Notably, IAMIA exhibits a fundamental shift at 935 ka, coinciding with the “900-ka event” observed in the SST. Modeling results support that the “900-ka event” could be driven by the change of cumulative insolation. Additionally, IAMIA underscores the important role of insolation in Pleistocene climate change on the long-term trend through the cumulative response of ocean heat content (OHC) to successive small step-wise insolation changes. Furthermore, we hypothesize that the fundamental changes of insolation around 935 ka, transitioning from a positive state characterized by substantial amplitude to a negative state typified by diminished amplitude, facilitated the onset and progression of the mid-Pleistocene transition (MPT). This investigation provides invaluable insights into the role of insolation in long-term climate evolution.
期刊介绍:
The objective of the journal Global and Planetary Change is to provide a multi-disciplinary overview of the processes taking place in the Earth System and involved in planetary change over time. The journal focuses on records of the past and current state of the earth system, and future scenarios , and their link to global environmental change. Regional or process-oriented studies are welcome if they discuss global implications. Topics include, but are not limited to, changes in the dynamics and composition of the atmosphere, oceans and cryosphere, as well as climate change, sea level variation, observations/modelling of Earth processes from deep to (near-)surface and their coupling, global ecology, biogeography and the resilience/thresholds in ecosystems.
Key criteria for the consideration of manuscripts are (a) the relevance for the global scientific community and/or (b) the wider implications for global scale problems, preferably combined with (c) having a significance beyond a single discipline. A clear focus on key processes associated with planetary scale change is strongly encouraged.
Manuscripts can be submitted as either research contributions or as a review article. Every effort should be made towards the presentation of research outcomes in an understandable way for a broad readership.