Birth Patterns in the Aftermath of the 1918 Influenza Pandemic in India: The Case of Madras City

IF 4.3 4区医学 Q1 INFECTIOUS DISEASES

Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses Pub Date : 2024-07-25 DOI:10.1111/irv.13355

Siddharth Chandra, Rajiv Sarkar, Banseilang Rynjah

引用次数: 0

Abstract

This paper examines the timing of one-time fluctuations in births subsequent to the 1918 influenza pandemic in Madras (now Chennai), India. After seasonally decomposing key demographic aggregates, we identified abrupt one-time fluctuations in excess births, deaths, and infant deaths. We found a contemporaneous spike in excess deaths and infant deaths and a 40-week lag between the spike in deaths and a subsequent deficit in births. The results suggest that India experienced the same kind of short-term postpandemic “baby bust” that was observed in the United States and other countries. Identifying the mechanisms underlying this widespread phenomenon remains an open question and an important topic for future research.

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1918 年流感大流行后印度的出生模式：马德拉斯市的案例。

本文研究了 1918 年流感大流行后印度马德拉斯（现钦奈）出生率一次性波动的时间。在对主要人口总数进行季节性分解后，我们确定了超常出生、死亡和婴儿死亡的突然一次性波动。我们发现超额死亡和婴儿死亡人数在同一时期激增，而死亡人数激增与随后的出生人数不足之间存在 40 周的滞后期。结果表明，印度经历了与美国和其他国家相同的短期流行后 "婴儿萧条 "现象。确定这一普遍现象的内在机制仍是一个悬而未决的问题，也是未来研究的一个重要课题。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses 医学-病毒学

CiteScore

7.20

自引率

4.50%

发文量

120

审稿时长

6-12 weeks

期刊介绍： Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses is the official journal of the International Society of Influenza and Other Respiratory Virus Diseases - an independent scientific professional society - dedicated to promoting the prevention, detection, treatment, and control of influenza and other respiratory virus diseases. Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses is an Open Access journal. Copyright on any research article published by Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses is retained by the author(s). Authors grant Wiley a license to publish the article and identify itself as the original publisher. Authors also grant any third party the right to use the article freely as long as its integrity is maintained and its original authors, citation details and publisher are identified.