ICM ensemble with novel betting functions for concept drift

Abstract

This study builds upon our previous work by introducing a refined Inductive Conformal Martingale (ICM) approach for addressing Concept Drift. Specifically, we enhance our previously proposed CAUTIOUS betting function to incorporate multiple density estimators for improving detection ability. We also combine this betting function with two base estimators that have not been previously utilized within the ICM framework: the Interpolated Histogram and Nearest Neighbor Density Estimators. We assess these extensions using both a single ICM and an ensemble of ICMs. For the latter, we conduct a comprehensive experimental investigation into the influence of the ensemble size on prediction accuracy and the number of available predictions. Our experimental results on four benchmark datasets demonstrate that the proposed approach surpasses our previous methodology in terms of performance while matching or in many cases exceeding that of three contemporary state-of-the-art techniques.