Longitudinal Cohort Study: Predictive Validity of the Structured Assessment of Violence Risk in Youth Individual/Clinical Risk Factor on Recidivism Among Mississippi Justice-Involved Youth

IF 1.5 1区社会学 Q2 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY

Youth Violence and Juvenile Justice Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI:10.1177/15412040241231964

R. Dembo, Sheena K. Gardner, Angela A. Robertson, Jennifer Wareham, J. Schmeidler

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Many juvenile justice agencies have moved toward risk-need-responsivity and risk-need-assessment approaches to manage youth and reduce future risk of recidivism. The Structured Assessment of Violence Risk in Youth (SAVRY) instrument is a popular tool to assess risk and protective factors among justice-involved youth. The present study explored the consistency of the Individual/Clinical Risk measure, comprised of eight items (e.g., anger, negative attitudes, empathy), as a single latent factor across five years (2017–2021) of juvenile court data in Mississippi. Further, this study examined gender (male vs. female) and race (Black vs. non-Black) invariance in this risk factor and the predictive validity of the risk factor for one-year recidivism. Findings support the existence of a single factor of Individual/Clinical Risk and consistency across time. The risk factor was invariant across gender and race. Further, the risk factor significantly predicted recidivism in years 2019–2021, and near significantly predicted recidivism for 2017. These findings recommend the continued use of the SAVRY as an evidence-based measure of risk.

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纵向队列研究：密西西比州涉法青少年中青少年暴力风险结构化评估个体/临床风险因素对累犯的预测效力

许多青少年司法机构已经转向风险需求反应和风险需求评估方法，以管理青少年并降低未来的再犯风险。青少年暴力风险结构化评估（SAVRY）工具是一种常用工具，用于评估涉法青少年的风险和保护因素。本研究探讨了密西西比州五年（2017-2021 年）少年法庭数据中，由八个项目（如愤怒、消极态度、移情）组成的个人/临床风险测量作为单一潜因子的一致性。此外，本研究还考察了该风险因子的性别（男性与女性）和种族（黑人与非黑人）不变性，以及该风险因子对一年累犯的预测有效性。研究结果支持个人/临床风险单因子的存在和跨时间的一致性。该风险因子在不同性别和种族之间是不变的。此外，该风险因子对2019-2021年的累犯有明显的预测作用，对2017年的累犯也有接近明显的预测作用。这些发现建议继续使用 SAVRY 作为基于证据的风险测量方法。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Youth Violence and Juvenile Justice CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY-

CiteScore

6.90

自引率

10.50%

发文量

期刊介绍： Youth Violence and Juvenile Justice: An Interdisciplinary Journal provides academics and practitioners in juvenile justice and related fields with a resource for publishing current empirical research on programs, policies, and practices in the areas of youth violence and juvenile justice. Emphasis is placed on such topics as serious and violent juvenile offenders, juvenile offender recidivism, institutional violence, and other relevant topics to youth violence and juvenile justice such as risk assessment, psychopathy, self-control, and gang membership, among others. Decided emphasis is placed on empirical research with specific implications relevant to juvenile justice process, policy, and administration. Interdisciplinary in scope, Youth Violence and Juvenile Justice serves a diverse audience of academics and practitioners in the fields of criminal justice, education, psychology, social work, behavior analysis, sociology, law, counseling, public health, and all others with an interest in youth violence and juvenile justice.