Effect of trade openness on economic growth in Nigeria

Seth K. Akutson, O. P. Efionayi, C. C. Agunobi
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Abstract

The study investigated the effect of trade openness on economic growth in Nigeria. Time series data were collected from the Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin from 1990 - 2022. While balance of payment was the proxy for economic growth (the dependent variable); the proxies for the independent variable (trade openness) were import, export and broad money supply to act as control variable. The method of data analysis employed in this study includes descriptive statistics, correlation analysis and unit root test. Ordinary Least Square was used to estimate the model. The findings revealed that import has no significant effect on balance of payment; export has significant effect on balance of payment; while broad money supply has insignificant effect on balance of payment in Nigeria. The study recommends that government should encourage huge investment on infrastructure development in order generate more economic activities; reduce the cost of doing business and increase the factors that drive productivity in Nigeria; and ensure stability in the interest, exchange rate and other monetary policy tools.
贸易开放对尼日利亚经济增长的影响
本研究调查了贸易开放对尼日利亚经济增长的影响。从尼日利亚中央银行统计公报中收集了 1990 - 2022 年的时间序列数据。国际收支是经济增长(因变量)的替代变量;自变量(贸易开放度)的替代变量是进口、出口和广义货币供应量,作为控制变量。本研究采用的数据分析方法包括描述性统计、相关性分析和单位根检验。采用普通最小二乘法对模型进行估计。研究结果表明,进口对国际收支没有显著影响;出口对国际收支有显著影响;而广义货币供应量对尼日利亚的国际收支影响不大。研究建议,政府应鼓励对基础设施发展进行大量投资,以创造更多的经济活动;降低经营成本,提高尼日利亚的生产力;确保利率、汇率和其他货币政策工具的稳定性。
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