Modelling the Impact of Relapse and Weaning Off Immunity on Hepatitis B Virus Transmission Dynamics

Nwaokolo M. A., Oguche A. J., Umaru R., Nwaokolo B.
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Abstract

In this study, we present a numerical simulation of the impact of relapse in patients with chronic HBV infection and weaning off immunity on vaccinated individuals within the transmission dynamics of Hepatitis B. The sensitivity analysis result establishes that relapse rate and weaning off immunity increase the value of the effective reproduction number when it is increased. Similarly, the result of the numerical simulation reveals that the combined effect of relapse and weaning off immunity increases the number of infected persons and thus, increases the spread of the Hepatitis B Virus. Also, relapse delays the quick response to the treatment regimen which consequently slows down the potential of recovery from the infection, whereas, weaning off immunity reduces the number of vaccinated individuals.
模拟复发和免疫断奶对乙型肝炎病毒传播动态的影响
在本研究中,我们对乙型肝炎传播动力学中慢性乙型肝炎病毒感染者复发和疫苗接种者免疫力下降的影响进行了数值模拟。敏感性分析结果表明,当有效繁殖数增加时,复发率和免疫力下降会增加有效繁殖数的值。同样,数值模拟的结果表明,复发和免疫力减弱的共同作用会增加感染人数,从而加剧乙型肝炎病毒的传播。此外,复发会延迟对治疗方案的快速反应,从而减缓从感染中恢复的可能性,而免疫力的断绝则会减少接种疫苗的人数。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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