Relationship between Financial Risk Exposure and Non-Performing Loans of Commercial Banks in Kenya

Wycliffe Amusunzu Odanga, J. Ndegwa, Grace Okello
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Abstract

Currently, there is a financial crisis affecting commercial banks in Kenya occasioned by high levels of loan loss provision as a result of Non-Performing Loans. The past decade has seen the collapse of major banks like Chase Bank among others.  This trend on Non-Performing Loans of the institutions requires urgent measures to reverse failure to which the entire sector is likely to collapse, and customers would lose a significant amount of their deposits.  This study sought to investigate the effect of credit risk and liquidity risk on non-performing loans (NPLs) of commercial banks in Kenya and appraise the moderating effect of firm age on the relationship between financial risk exposure on non-performing loans of commercial banks in Kenya. The study was underpinned by liquidity preference theory. The examination adopted a positivist paradigm guided by explanatory research design. The study targeted 40 commercial banks as the unit of analysis while branch managers, operations and risk managers were the units of observation drawn from the banks adding to 120 respondents and census was used. The study collected both primary data using structured questionnaire on the independent variable and secondary data from publications by Central Bank of Kenya (CBK) and respective banks and the same was analyzed through the statistical package for social sciences (SPSS) version 26 in a descriptive and inferential manner.  The study established that credit risk (p<0.05) and liquidity risk (p<0.05) were all found to have significant effect on NPLs of commercial banks in Kenya and significantly moderated by their sizes. It was concluded that financial risk exposure has significant effect on NPLs of commercial banks in Kenya. It was recommended that finance manages working in commercial banks in Kenya to balance the investment in short term and long-term assets to maintain operational liquidity levels for better management of liquidity risks. Credit managers working for commercial banks in Kenya need to review the existing credit risk management efforts and mechanisms to minimize exposure to NPLs. 
肯尼亚商业银行的金融风险暴露与不良贷款之间的关系
目前,由于不良贷款导致的高额贷款损失准备金,肯尼亚的商业银行正面临着一场金融危机。过去十年间,大通银行等大型银行相继倒闭。 这些机构的不良贷款趋势需要采取紧急措施来扭转,否则整个行业可能会崩溃,客户也会损失大量存款。 本研究旨在调查信用风险和流动性风险对肯尼亚商业银行不良贷款(NPLs)的影响,并评估公司年龄对肯尼亚商业银行金融风险暴露与不良贷款之间关系的调节作用。本研究以流动性偏好理论为基础。研究采用了以解释性研究设计为指导的实证主义范式。研究以 40 家商业银行为分析单位,以分行经理、运营经理和风险经理为观察单位,从银行中抽取了 120 名受访者,并进行了普查。研究使用关于自变量的结构化问卷收集原始数据,并从肯尼亚中央银行(CBK)和各银行的出版物中收集二手数据,然后通过社会科学统计软件包(SPSS)第 26 版以描述性和推论性的方式对这些数据进行分析。 研究发现,信用风险(p<0.05)和流动性风险(p<0.05)都对肯尼亚商业银行的不良贷款率有显著影响,并受到其规模的显著调节。结论是金融风险暴露对肯尼亚商业银行的不良贷款率有重大影响。建议在肯尼亚商业银行工作的财务管理人员平衡短期和长期资产投资,以保持业务流动性水平,从而更好地管理流动性风险。在肯尼亚商业银行工作的信贷管理人员需要审查现有的信贷风险管理工作和机制,以最大限度地减少不良贷款的风险。
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