Part‐time subsidies and maternal reemployment: Evidence from a difference‐in‐differences analysis

Franziska Zimmert, Michael Zimmert
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Abstract

SummaryEmployment interruptions of mothers are still one of the main causes for different labour market outcomes between women and men. Employment subsidies can incentivise mothers to shorten employment interruptions after childbirth. We examine a German parental leave reform incentivising an early return to part‐time work. Exploiting the exogenous variation defined by the child's birthday, we apply unconditional difference‐in‐differences (DiD) estimation using administrative data. Machine learning augmented DiD estimation shows that our findings are robust to the inclusion of a large dictionary of potential covariates. Additionally, we estimate conditional effects in the DiD setting. Our results show that being eligible to the new regime yields positive average employment effects that are mainly driven by part‐time employment. In particular, the increased attractiveness of part‐time work does not cannibalise full‐time employment. The policy creates heterogeneous incentives depending on the opportunity costs of working part time: especially mothers with middle income and prior part‐time workers respond to the reform. Besides, diverging results for East and West Germany hint at the potential of a change in social norms.
兼职补贴与产妇再就业:来自差异分析的证据
摘要母亲中断就业仍然是造成男女劳动力市场结果不同的主要原因之一。就业补贴可以激励母亲缩短产后中断就业的时间。我们研究了德国鼓励尽早重返兼职工作的育儿假改革。利用孩子生日所定义的外生变量,我们使用行政数据进行了无条件差分估计(DiD)。机器学习增强型差分估算表明,我们的研究结果在纳入大量潜在协变量后也是稳健的。此外,我们还估算了 DiD 环境中的条件效应。我们的结果表明,有资格加入新制度会产生积极的平均就业效应,而这主要是由兼职就业驱动的。特别是,兼职工作吸引力的增加并没有蚕食全职就业。根据兼职工作的机会成本,该政策产生了不同的激励:尤其是中等收入的母亲和以前的兼职工作者对改革做出了反应。此外,东德和西德的不同结果也暗示了社会规范发生变化的可能性。
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