Application of the Extended Log Quad Model to Municipal Life Tables

IF 2.6 3区 社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY
Yu Horiguchi
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

In this study, we improve on the research results of relational models that enable life table estimates from a small number of demographic indices, such as the Log Quad Model by Wilmoth et al. (Popul Stud 66(1):1–28, 2012) and the Extended Log Quad Model 1 by Horiguchi (J Popul Stud 58:13–28, 2022). Consequently, we propose the Extended Log Quad Model 2. This is a mortality rate model that reflects the remarkable improvement in old-age mortality rates in Japan since the 1970s. This is intended for application to the estimation of municipal life tables in Japan. The Extended Log Quad Model 2 is useful for municipal policymaking because it is possible to estimate future life tables with a high level of accuracy by projecting only life expectancy at the age of 65. It is also suggested that the Extended Log Quad Model 2 will be applicable to other developed countries, such as Australia, Canada, France, and New Zealand.

Abstract Image

扩展对数四边形模型在市政生命表中的应用
在本研究中,我们改进了一些关系模型的研究成果,这些模型可通过少量人口指数估算生命表,如 Wilmoth 等人的对数四分模型(Popul Stud 66(1):1-28, 2012)和 Horiguchi 的扩展对数四分模型 1(J Popul Stud 58:13-28, 2022)。因此,我们提出了扩展对数四边形模型 2。这是一个死亡率模型,反映了自 20 世纪 70 年代以来日本老年死亡率的显著改善。该模型适用于日本市镇生命表的估算。扩展对数四边形模型 2 对市政决策非常有用,因为只需预测 65 岁时的预期寿命,就可以非常准确地估算出未来的生命表。此外,还建议扩展对数四边形模型 2 适用于其他发达国家,如澳大利亚、加拿大、法国和新西兰。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.40
自引率
4.20%
发文量
55
期刊介绍: Now accepted in JSTOR! Population Research and Policy Review has a twofold goal: it provides a convenient source for government officials and scholars in which they can learn about the policy implications of recent research relevant to the causes and consequences of changing population size and composition; and it provides a broad, interdisciplinary coverage of population research. Population Research and Policy Review seeks to publish quality material of interest to professionals working in the fields of population, and those fields which intersect and overlap with population studies. The publication includes demographic, economic, social, political and health research papers and related contributions which are based on either the direct scientific evaluation of particular policies or programs, or general contributions intended to advance knowledge that informs policy and program development.
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