A new dynamic framework is required to assess adaptation limits

IF 8.6 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Sirkku Juhola , Laurens M. Bouwer , Christian Huggel , Reinhard Mechler , Veruska Muccione , Ivo Wallimann-Helmer
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Anthropogenic climate change is already causing dangerous and widespread disruptions in global ecological and social systems and affects the lives of billions of people around the world. Even with scaled-up risk management and adaptation, the limits of adaptation will often be reached. Currently, very little is known about the degree to which societies can adapt to climate change, and where and when limits to adaptation will be reached. In this paper, we conceptualize adaptation limits through a novel methodological framework, assess adaptation limits along adaptation pathways, and propose a research strategy for empirical and model-based limits assessments based on biophysical and socio-economic data. Assessing limits is central to national and international adaptation policymaking. More efficient adaptation can also help climate mitigation efforts.

评估适应极限需要一个新的动态框架
人为气候变化已经对全球生态和社会系统造成了危险和广泛的破坏,影响着全世界数十亿人的生活。即使扩大风险管理和适应的规模,也往往会达到适应的极限。目前,人们对社会适应气候变化的程度以及何时何地会达到适应极限知之甚少。在本文中,我们通过一个新颖的方法论框架对适应极限进行概念化,沿着适应路径对适应极限进行评估,并根据生物物理和社会经济数据为基于经验和模型的极限评估提出研究策略。评估极限是国家和国际适应决策的核心。更有效的适应也有助于气候减缓工作。
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来源期刊
Global Environmental Change
Global Environmental Change 环境科学-环境科学
CiteScore
18.20
自引率
2.20%
发文量
146
审稿时长
12 months
期刊介绍: Global Environmental Change is a prestigious international journal that publishes articles of high quality, both theoretically and empirically rigorous. The journal aims to contribute to the understanding of global environmental change from the perspectives of human and policy dimensions. Specifically, it considers global environmental change as the result of processes occurring at the local level, but with wide-ranging impacts on various spatial, temporal, and socio-political scales. In terms of content, the journal seeks articles with a strong social science component. This includes research that examines the societal drivers and consequences of environmental change, as well as social and policy processes that aim to address these challenges. While the journal covers a broad range of topics, including biodiversity and ecosystem services, climate, coasts, food systems, land use and land cover, oceans, urban areas, and water resources, it also welcomes contributions that investigate the drivers, consequences, and management of other areas affected by environmental change. Overall, Global Environmental Change encourages research that deepens our understanding of the complex interactions between human activities and the environment, with the goal of informing policy and decision-making.
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