Frailty progression in adults aged 40 years and older in rural Burkina Faso: a longitudinal, population-based study

IF 13.4 Q1 GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY
Dina Goodman-Palmer PhD , Prof Carolyn Greig PhD , Sandra Agyapong-Badu PhD , Prof Miles D Witham PhD , Collin F Payne PhD , Mamadou Bountogo MD , Boubacar Coulibaly PhD , Pascal Geldsetzer ScD , Guy Harling ScD , Maxime Inghels PhD , Jennifer Manne-Goehler ScD , Lucienne Ouermi MD , Ali Sie PhD , Prof Justine I Davies MD
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We derived the Fried frailty score for each participant at each timepoint using data on grip strength, gait speed, self-reported weight loss, self-reported exhaustion, and physical activity, and described changes in frailty status (no frailty, pre-frailty, or frailty) between 2018 and 2021. 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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Background

Little is known about ageing and frailty progression in low-income settings. We aimed to describe frailty changes over time in individuals living in rural Burkina Faso and to assess which sociodemographic, disability, and multimorbidity factors are associated with frailty progression and mortality.

Methods

This longitudinal, population-based study was conducted at the Nouna Health and Demographic Surveillance Systems (HDSS) site in northwestern Burkina Faso. Eligible participants were aged 40 years or older and had been primarily resident in a household within the HDSS area for at least the past 6 months before the baseline survey and were selected from the 2015 HDSS household census using a stratified random sample of adults living in unique households within the area. Participants were interviewed in their homes in 2018 (baseline), 2021 (follow-up), or both. We derived the Fried frailty score for each participant at each timepoint using data on grip strength, gait speed, self-reported weight loss, self-reported exhaustion, and physical activity, and described changes in frailty status (no frailty, pre-frailty, or frailty) between 2018 and 2021. We used multivariate regression models to assess factors (ie, sex, age, marital status, educational attainment, wealth quintile, WHO Disability Assessment Schedule (WHODAS) score, and multimorbidity) associated with frailty progression (either worsening frailty status or dying, compared with frailty status remaining the same or improving) and with mortality, and developed sequential models: unadjusted, adjusting for sociodemographic factors (sex, age, marital status, educational attainment, and wealth quintile), and adjusting for sociodemographic factors, disability, and multimorbidity.

Findings

Between May 25 and July 19, 2018, and between July 1 and Aug 22, 2021, 5952 individuals were invited to participate: 1709 (28·7%) did not consent, 1054 (17·8%) participated in 2018 only and were lost to follow-up, 1214 (20·4%) participated in 2021 only, and 1975 (33·2%) were included in both years or died between years. Of 1967 participants followed up with complete demographic data, 190 (9·7%) were frail or unable to complete the frailty assessment in 2018, compared with 77 (3·9%) in 2021. Between 2018 and 2021, frailty status improved in 567 (28·8%) participants and worsened in 327 (16·6%), and 101 (5·1%) participants died. The relative risk of frailty status worsening or of dying (compared with frailty impRoving or no change) increased with age and WHODAS score, whereas female sex appeared protective. After controlling for all sociodemographic factors, multimorbidity, and WHODAS score, odds of mortality were 1·07 (odds ratio 2·07, 95% CI 1·05–4·09) times higher among pre-frail individuals and 1·1 (2·21, 0·90–5·41) times higher among frail individuals than among non-frail individuals.

Interpretation

Frailty status was highly dynamic in this low-income setting and appears to be modifiable. Given the rapid increase in the numbers of older adults in low-income or middle-income countries, understanding the behaviour of frailty in these settings is of high importance for the development of policies and health systems to ensure the maintenance of health and wellbeing in ageing populations. Future work should focus on designing context-appropriate interventions to improve frailty status.

Funding

Alexander Von Humboldt Foundation, Institute for Global Innovation, University of Birmingham, and Wellcome Trust.

布基纳法索农村地区 40 岁及以上成年人的衰弱进展:一项以人口为基础的纵向研究。
背景:人们对低收入环境中的老龄化和虚弱进展知之甚少。我们的目的是描述生活在布基纳法索农村地区的个体随着时间推移而发生的虚弱变化,并评估哪些社会人口、残疾和多病因素与虚弱进展和死亡率相关:这项以人口为基础的纵向研究在布基纳法索西北部的努纳健康与人口监测系统(HDSS)站点进行。符合条件的参与者年龄在 40 岁或 40 岁以上,在基线调查之前的至少 6 个月内主要居住在 HDSS 地区的一个家庭中,并通过分层随机抽样从 2015 年 HDSS 家庭普查中选出居住在该地区独特家庭中的成年人。参与者于 2018 年(基线)、2021 年(随访)或这两年在家中接受访谈。我们利用握力、步态速度、自我报告的体重减轻情况、自我报告的疲惫程度和体力活动等数据,得出了每位参与者在每个时间点的弗里德虚弱评分,并描述了 2018 年至 2021 年间虚弱状态(无虚弱、虚弱前期或虚弱)的变化。我们使用多变量回归模型来评估与虚弱进展(虚弱状态恶化或死亡,与虚弱状态保持不变或改善相比)和死亡率相关的因素(即性别、年龄、婚姻状况、教育程度、财富五分位数、世卫组织残疾评估表(WHODAS)评分和多病症),并建立了序列模型:未调整、调整社会人口因素(性别、年龄、婚姻状况、教育程度和财富五分位数)、调整社会人口因素、残疾和多病情况。研究结果在 2018 年 5 月 25 日至 7 月 19 日以及 2021 年 7 月 1 日至 8 月 22 日期间,共有 5952 人受邀参加:1709人(28-7%)未同意参加,1054人(17-8%)仅参加了2018年的随访并失去了随访机会,1214人(20-4%)仅参加了2021年的随访,1975人(33-2%)在两年间都参加了随访或在两年间死亡。在有完整人口统计学数据的 1967 名随访参与者中,2018 年有 190 人(9-7%)体弱或无法完成体弱评估,而 2021 年有 77 人(3-9%)。在 2018 年至 2021 年期间,567 名参与者(28-8%)的虚弱状况有所改善,327 名参与者(16-6%)的虚弱状况有所恶化,101 名参与者(5-1%)死亡。虚弱状态恶化或死亡(与虚弱状态无变化或无变化相比)的相对风险随年龄和WHODAS评分的增加而增加,而女性似乎具有保护作用。在控制了所有社会人口学因素、多病症和 WHODAS 评分后,虚弱前患者的死亡几率是非虚弱患者的 1-07 倍(几率比 2-07,95% CI 1-05-4-09),虚弱患者的死亡几率是非虚弱患者的 1-1 倍(2-21,0-90-5-41):在这一低收入环境中,虚弱状态是高度动态的,而且似乎是可以改变的。鉴于低收入或中等收入国家的老年人数量迅速增加,了解这些环境中的虚弱行为对于制定政策和卫生系统以确保维持老龄人口的健康和福祉具有重要意义。未来的工作应侧重于设计适合具体情况的干预措施,以改善虚弱状况:亚历山大-冯-洪堡基金会、伯明翰大学全球创新研究所和威康信托基金会。
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来源期刊
Lancet Healthy Longevity
Lancet Healthy Longevity GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY-
CiteScore
16.30
自引率
2.30%
发文量
192
审稿时长
12 weeks
期刊介绍: The Lancet Healthy Longevity, a gold open-access journal, focuses on clinically-relevant longevity and healthy aging research. It covers early-stage clinical research on aging mechanisms, epidemiological studies, and societal research on changing populations. The journal includes clinical trials across disciplines, particularly in gerontology and age-specific clinical guidelines. In line with the Lancet family tradition, it advocates for the rights of all to healthy lives, emphasizing original research likely to impact clinical practice or thinking. Clinical and policy reviews also contribute to shaping the discourse in this rapidly growing discipline.
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