Optimising Sowing Window for Wheat Cultivars Under RCP 4.5 and RCP 6.0 Scenarios During the 21st Century in Indian Punjab

IF 3.7 2区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY
Prabhjyot-Kaur, Sandeep Singh Sandhu, Shivani Kothiyal
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Abstract

A simulation study was conducted for assessing the climate change impact on wheat cultivars (HD2967 and PBW725) under RCP 4.5 and RCP 6.0 scenarios for four agroclimatic zones (AZ) of Punjab. The yield trend during 70 years (2025–95) using the CERES-Wheat model was assessed for different sowing windows (end October to end November). The maximum/minimum temperature and rainfall, respectively, during the season varied between 25–27°C/9–12°C and 27–103 mm (AZ II), 24–27°C/8–13°C and 37–105 mm (AZ III), 24–26°C/9–12°C and 20–80 mm (AZ IV) and 23–26°C/9–12°C and 30–71 mm (AZ V). The climatic conditions largely vary across the state, because of which only AZs II, III and V were found productive for wheat crop with most of the years lying in the high yield (>5000 kg/ha) category. The sowing of HD2967 during mid to end November would be suitable adaptation strategy for wheat growers in the state.

21 世纪印度旁遮普省在 RCP 4.5 和 RCP 6.0 情景下优化小麦品种播种期
在 RCP 4.5 和 RCP 6.0 情景下,对旁遮普省的四个农业气候区(AZ)进行了模拟研究,以评估气候变化对小麦品种(HD2967 和 PBW725)的影响。利用 CERES 小麦模型评估了不同播种期(10 月底至 11 月底)70 年(2025-95 年)的产量趋势。该季节的最高/最低温度和降雨量分别为 25-27°C/9-12°C 和 27-103 毫米(AZ II)、24-27°C/8-13°C 和 37-105 毫米(AZ III)、24-26°C/9-12°C 和 20-80 毫米(AZ IV)以及 23-26°C/9-12°C 和 30-71 毫米(AZ V)。全州各地的气候条件差异很大,因此只有第二、第三和第五行政区的小麦作物产量较高,大部分年份都属于高产(>5000 公斤/公顷)类别。在 11 月中下旬播种 HD2967 将是该州小麦种植者的适当适应策略。
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来源期刊
Journal of Agronomy and Crop Science
Journal of Agronomy and Crop Science 农林科学-农艺学
CiteScore
8.20
自引率
5.70%
发文量
54
审稿时长
7.8 months
期刊介绍: The effects of stress on crop production of agricultural cultivated plants will grow to paramount importance in the 21st century, and the Journal of Agronomy and Crop Science aims to assist in understanding these challenges. In this context, stress refers to extreme conditions under which crops and forages grow. The journal publishes original papers and reviews on the general and special science of abiotic plant stress. Specific topics include: drought, including water-use efficiency, such as salinity, alkaline and acidic stress, extreme temperatures since heat, cold and chilling stress limit the cultivation of crops, flooding and oxidative stress, and means of restricting them. Special attention is on research which have the topic of narrowing the yield gap. The Journal will give preference to field research and studies on plant stress highlighting these subsections. Particular regard is given to application-oriented basic research and applied research. The application of the scientific principles of agricultural crop experimentation is an essential prerequisite for the publication. Studies based on field experiments must show that they have been repeated (at least three times) on the same organism or have been conducted on several different varieties.
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