Cost-Effectiveness of Dolutegravir Compared With Efavirenz for Prevention of Perinatal Transmission in Women Presenting With HIV in Late Pregnancy in Uganda

Abstract

Objectives

Dolutegravir (DTG) has proved to be more efficacious, tolerable, and safer than efavirenz (EFV) among mothers living with HIV and their infants in Uganda. This study assessed the cost-effectiveness of the DTG-based antiretroviral therapy (ART) compared with the standard of care for preventing perinatal transmissions among pregnant women initiating ART in late pregnancy in Uganda.

Methods

We used data from a randomized open-label trial (DolPHIN-2) and a 2-part cost-effectiveness model composed of a short-term decision tree to estimate the perinatal transmission rate and costs and an individual-based 3-state Markov model (HIV, advanced HIV, dead) to estimate the long-term costs and health outcomes from the Ugandan payer perspective using a lifetime horizon and a 1-year Markov cycle. The main outcomes were the mean annual costs in US dollars ($), disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio. Both the deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess the effect of parameter uncertainties on the ultimate results and the model’s robustness.

Results

Compared with the EFV-based ART, the DTG-based ART was associated with fewer mean annual costs ($43.58 vs $68.44) and DALYs (0.33 vs 0.56), leading to cost savings of $110 per DALY averted. In the incremental analysis, the DTG-based ART dominated the EFV-based ART; that is, it was less costly and more effective. These results were robust to deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses.

Conclusion

The DTG-based ART is a highly cost-effective strategy compared with the EFV-based ART among women initiating treatment in the third trimester of pregnancy in a low-income setting.