Francesco Pisu, Brady J Williamson, Valentina Nardi, Kosmas I Paraskevas, Josep Puig, Achala Vagal, Gianluca de Rubeis, Michele Porcu, Riccardo Cau, John C Benson, Antonella Balestrieri, Giuseppe Lanzino, Jasjit S Suri, Abdelkader Mahammedi, Luca Saba
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引用次数: 0
Abstract
Background: This study aimed to develop and validate a computed tomography angiography based machine learning model that uses plaque composition data and degree of carotid stenosis to detect symptomatic carotid plaques in patients with carotid atherosclerosis.
Methods: The machine learning based model was trained using degree of stenosis and the volumes of 13 computed tomography angiography derived intracarotid plaque subcomponents (eg, lipid, intraplaque hemorrhage, calcium) to identify plaques associated with cerebrovascular events. The model was internally validated through repeated 10-fold cross-validation and tested on a dedicated testing cohort according to discrimination and calibration.
Results: This retrospective, single-center study evaluated computed tomography angiography scans of 268 patients with both symptomatic and asymptomatic carotid atherosclerosis (163 for the derivation set and 106 for the testing set) performed between March 2013 and October 2019. The area-under-receiver-operating characteristics curve by machine learning on the testing cohort (0.89) was significantly higher than the areas under the curve of traditional logit analysis based on the degree of stenosis (0.51, P<0.001), presence of intraplaque hemorrhage (0.69, P<0.001), and plaque composition (0.78, P<0.001), respectively. Comparable performance was obtained on internal validation. The identified plaque components and associated cutoff values that were significantly associated with a higher likelihood of symptomatic status after adjustment were the ratio of intraplaque hemorrhage to lipid volume (≥50%, 38.5 [10.1-205.1]; odds ratio, 95% CI) and percentage of intraplaque hemorrhage volume (≥10%, 18.5 [5.7-69.4]; odds ratio, 95% CI).
Conclusions: This study presented an interpretable machine learning model that accurately identifies symptomatic carotid plaques using computed tomography angiography derived plaque composition features, aiding clinical decision-making.
期刊介绍:
Circulation: Cardiovascular Imaging, an American Heart Association journal, publishes high-quality, patient-centric articles focusing on observational studies, clinical trials, and advances in applied (translational) research. The journal features innovative, multimodality approaches to the diagnosis and risk stratification of cardiovascular disease. Modalities covered include echocardiography, cardiac computed tomography, cardiac magnetic resonance imaging and spectroscopy, magnetic resonance angiography, cardiac positron emission tomography, noninvasive assessment of vascular and endothelial function, radionuclide imaging, molecular imaging, and others.
Article types considered by Circulation: Cardiovascular Imaging include Original Research, Research Letters, Advances in Cardiovascular Imaging, Clinical Implications of Molecular Imaging Research, How to Use Imaging, Translating Novel Imaging Technologies into Clinical Applications, and Cardiovascular Images.