Grouping and long term prediction of sunspot cycle characteristics-A fuzzy clustering approach

IF 16.4 1区 化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
B.T. Anilkumar (Assistant Professor) , A Sabarinath (Scientist)
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Based on the pattern recognition algorithm called fuzzy c-means clustering, grouping of sunspot cycles has been carried out. It is found that, optimally the sunspot cycles can be divided in to two groups; we name it as Large Group and Small Group. Based on the fuzzy membership values the groups are derived. According to our analysis, cycles 1,5,6,7,12,13,14,15,16 and 24 belongs to the Small class, where as cycles 2,3,4,8,9,10,11,17,18,19,20,21,22, and 23 belongs to the Large class. Based on the features of each group and its fuzzy cluster center, prediction of cycle 25 is also been made. Also on the periodicity of the occurrence of the groups, a new cyclic behaviour has been found for the occurrences of the identical sunspot cycles. According to our study Cycle 25 belongs to small class and further we predict that the future cycle up to cycle 32 may fall in small group.

太阳黑子周期特征的分组和长期预测--一种模糊聚类方法
基于称为模糊 c-means 聚类的模式识别算法,对太阳黑子周期进行了分组。结果发现,太阳黑子周期可以最佳地分为两组,我们将其命名为大组和小组。根据模糊成员值进行分组。根据我们的分析,周期 1、5、6、7、12、13、14、15、16 和 24 属于小类,而周期 2、3、4、8、9、10、11、17、18、19、20、21、22 和 23 属于大类。根据各组的特征及其模糊聚类中心,还对周期 25 进行了预测。此外,根据各组出现的周期性,还发现了相同太阳黑子周期出现的新周期行为。根据我们的研究,周期 25 属于小类,我们进一步预测,未来的周期直到周期 32 都可能属于小类。
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来源期刊
Accounts of Chemical Research
Accounts of Chemical Research 化学-化学综合
CiteScore
31.40
自引率
1.10%
发文量
312
审稿时长
2 months
期刊介绍: Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance. Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.
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