Integrating remote sensing and 3-PG model to simulate the biomass and carbon stock of Larix olgensis plantation

Abstract

Accurate estimations of biomass and its temporal dynamics are crucial for monitoring the carbon cycle in forest ecosystems and assessing forest carbon sequestration potentials. Recent studies have shown that integrating process-based models (PBMs) with remote sensing data can enhance simulations from stand to regional scales, significantly improving the ability to simulate forest growth and carbon stock dynamics. However, the utilization of PBMs for large-scale simulation of larch carbon storage distribution is still limited. In this study, we applied the parameterized 3-PG (Physiological Principles Predicting Growth) model across the Mengjiagang Forest Farm (MFF) to make broad-scale predictions of the biomass and carbon stocks of Larix olgensis plantation. The model was used to simulate average diameter at breast height (DBH) and total biomass, which were later validated with a wide range of observation data including sample plot data, forest management inventory data, and airborne laser scanning data. The results showed that the 3-PG model had relatively high accuracy for predicting both DBH and total biomass at stand and regional scale, with determination coefficients ranging from 0.78 to 0.88. Based on the estimation of total biomass, we successfully produced a carbon stock map of the Larix olgensis plantation in MFF with a spatial resolution of 20 ​m, which helps with relevant management advice. These findings indicate that the integration of 3-PG model and remote sensing data can well predict the biomass and carbon stock at regional and even larger scales. In addition, this integration facilitates the evaluation of forest carbon sequestration capacity and the development of forest management plans.