Transboundary cooperation in infrastructure operation generates economic and environmental co-benefits in the Lancang-Mekong River Basin

Yang Yu, Yan Bo, Andrea Castelletti, Patrice Dumas, Jinyu Gao, Ximing Cai, Junguo Liu, Taher Kahil, Yoshihide Wada, Shiruo Hu, Bo Liu, Feng Zhou, Jianshi Zhao
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Abstract

The Lancang-Mekong River Basin is facing booming water resources infrastructure development, long-term transboundary conflicts and trade-offs between economic goals and ecosystem services provision. Optimizing the pathway towards sustainable infrastructure operation has lacked multisector-coordinated and decision behaviour-based perspectives for transboundary water systems. In this study we quantified how, and to what extent, transboundary cooperation generates economic and environmental co-benefits by jointly using a coupled simulation–optimization approach and cooperative game theoretical analysis. We found that full cooperation outweighs partial or non-cooperation modes to promote economic benefits by 3 to 21% and to minimize the losses in fishery and sediment transport from 23% and 60% to 12% and 22%, respectively. Full cooperation becomes more beneficial and stable alongside infrastructure expansion, climate change and satisfying the hydrological needs of river ecosystems. These findings underscore the importance of full cooperation for sustaining socio-environmental systems and highlight the need for a benefit reallocation mechanism and designed flow management to stabilize basin-level full cooperation in the Lancang-Mekong River Basin. This Analysis quantifies how, and to what extent, transboundary cooperation generates economic and environmental co-benefits in the Lancang-Mekong River Basin, highlighting the importance of benefit sharing for sustaining socio-environmental systems.

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基础设施运营中的跨境合作为澜沧江-湄公河流域带来经济和环境共同利益
澜沧江-湄公河流域正面临着蓬勃发展的水资源基础设施建设、长期的跨境冲突以及经济目标与生态系统服务之间的权衡。对于跨境水系统而言,优化基础设施可持续运行的途径缺乏多部门协调和基于决策行为的视角。在本研究中,我们通过联合使用耦合模拟优化方法和合作博弈理论分析,量化了跨境合作如何以及在多大程度上产生经济和环境共同效益。我们发现,全面合作比部分或非合作模式的经济效益高出 3% 到 21%,并能最大限度地减少渔业和沉积物运输损失,分别从 23% 和 60% 降至 12% 和 22%。随着基础设施的扩张、气候变化和满足河流生态系统的水文需求,全面合作变得更加有利和稳定。这些发现强调了全面合作对维持社会环境系统的重要性,并突出了在澜沧江-湄公河流域建立利益再分配机制和设计流量管理以稳定流域级全面合作的必要性。本分析报告量化了跨境合作如何以及在多大程度上为澜沧江-湄公河流域带来经济和环境共同利益,强调了利益共享对于维持社会环境系统的重要性。
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