Makarakreasey King , Sang Inn Woo , Chan-Young Yune
{"title":"Utilizing a CNN-RNN machine learning approach for forecasting time-series outlet fluid temperature monitoring by long-term operation of BHEs system","authors":"Makarakreasey King , Sang Inn Woo , Chan-Young Yune","doi":"10.1016/j.geothermics.2024.103082","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The Borehole Heat Exchanger (BHE) plays a pivotal role in enhancing heat exchange efficiency within Ground Source Heat Pump (GSHP) systems. The accurate prediction of the BHE's outlet fluid temperature is crucial for optimizing GSHP performance, energy storage, and resource conservation. However, conventional machine learning methods encounter challenges in manual feature extraction, learning complex nonlinear relationships, and adapting to real-world scenarios. To address these limitations, this research proposes a crossbreed model integrating Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) and Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) architectures to forecast long-term outlet fluid temperature in BHE systems. The model framework encompasses data preprocessing, utilizing refined data in the CNN module for temporal feature extraction, subsequently passed to the RNN module to capture sequential and temporal patterns from each dataset. Specifically, the advanced CNN-RNN architecture is designed to establish a comprehensive input-output mapping, leveraging essential input features such as inlet fluid, ambient air, and subsurface temperatures at varying depths (0, 10, and 20 m). Performance evaluation metrics, including R<sup>2</sup>, RMSE, MAE, and AARE, are employed to compare and assess prediction accuracy across various models, including LSTM, CNN, and SimpleRNN. The obtained results demonstrate the superior performance of the proposed model, achieving an RSME of 0.818, MAE of 0.642, AARE of 0.0305, and an R<sup>2</sup> value of 98.75 %. This surpasses the performance of traditional prediction models (LSTM, CNN, and SimpleRNN) by 3.01 %, 5.80 %, and 19.52 %, respectively. Notably, the remarkably low MAE of 0.642 exhibited by a CNN-RNN model underscores its capability to outperform traditional approaches, especially when handling large datasets. These findings emphasize the significance of the developed model in facilitating efficient operation, positioning it as a valuable tool for advancing the long-term sustainability of BHE systems.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":55095,"journal":{"name":"Geothermics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.5000,"publicationDate":"2024-06-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Geothermics","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0375650524001718","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"ENERGY & FUELS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
The Borehole Heat Exchanger (BHE) plays a pivotal role in enhancing heat exchange efficiency within Ground Source Heat Pump (GSHP) systems. The accurate prediction of the BHE's outlet fluid temperature is crucial for optimizing GSHP performance, energy storage, and resource conservation. However, conventional machine learning methods encounter challenges in manual feature extraction, learning complex nonlinear relationships, and adapting to real-world scenarios. To address these limitations, this research proposes a crossbreed model integrating Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) and Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) architectures to forecast long-term outlet fluid temperature in BHE systems. The model framework encompasses data preprocessing, utilizing refined data in the CNN module for temporal feature extraction, subsequently passed to the RNN module to capture sequential and temporal patterns from each dataset. Specifically, the advanced CNN-RNN architecture is designed to establish a comprehensive input-output mapping, leveraging essential input features such as inlet fluid, ambient air, and subsurface temperatures at varying depths (0, 10, and 20 m). Performance evaluation metrics, including R2, RMSE, MAE, and AARE, are employed to compare and assess prediction accuracy across various models, including LSTM, CNN, and SimpleRNN. The obtained results demonstrate the superior performance of the proposed model, achieving an RSME of 0.818, MAE of 0.642, AARE of 0.0305, and an R2 value of 98.75 %. This surpasses the performance of traditional prediction models (LSTM, CNN, and SimpleRNN) by 3.01 %, 5.80 %, and 19.52 %, respectively. Notably, the remarkably low MAE of 0.642 exhibited by a CNN-RNN model underscores its capability to outperform traditional approaches, especially when handling large datasets. These findings emphasize the significance of the developed model in facilitating efficient operation, positioning it as a valuable tool for advancing the long-term sustainability of BHE systems.
期刊介绍:
Geothermics is an international journal devoted to the research and development of geothermal energy. The International Board of Editors of Geothermics, which comprises specialists in the various aspects of geothermal resources, exploration and development, guarantees the balanced, comprehensive view of scientific and technological developments in this promising energy field.
It promulgates the state of the art and science of geothermal energy, its exploration and exploitation through a regular exchange of information from all parts of the world. The journal publishes articles dealing with the theory, exploration techniques and all aspects of the utilization of geothermal resources. Geothermics serves as the scientific house, or exchange medium, through which the growing community of geothermal specialists can provide and receive information.