{"title":"Self-controlled risk interval study of rotavirus vaccine safety: Findings and implications.","authors":"Jacob Puliyel, Brian S Hooker","doi":"10.3233/JRS-230049","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The self-controlled case series (SCCS) is often used to monitor vaccine safety. The evaluation of intussusception after the rotavirus vaccine is complicated because the baseline rate varies with age. Time-varying baseline risk adjustments with data from unexposed cohorts are utilised. Self-controlled risk interval (SCRI), with a shorter observation period, can also mitigate the problem by studying a control period close to the risk period.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>An Indian rotavirus vaccine has previously been studied using SCCS. The risk of intussusception in the high-risk windows (21 days after vaccination) was comparable to the background risk. The aim was to re-analyse data of an existing SCCS study using alternate statistical methods to examine vaccine safety.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We examined the mean age of intussusception in the vaccinated and the unvaccinated. We performed an SCRI analysis of the surveillance data from the SCCS study, limiting the observation period to 180 days. We analysed the time-to-intussusception from the last vaccination. Finally, we performed an SCCS analysis, excluding unvaccinated cases from the analysis.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>We found that the mean age of intussusception was significantly lower in the vaccinated (205 days) compared to the unvaccinated (223 days) (p-value 0.0026). The Incident Risk Ratio (IRR) on SCRI analysis was 1.62 (95% CI 1.07-2.44). There were significantly more intussusceptions in the first 30 days after vaccination compared to the next 30-day window. (92 vs 63 p-value = 0.009). We found that excluding unvaccinated infants from the SCCS analysis demonstrated significantly increased risk for the risk period 1-21 days after the 3rd dose (IRR 2.47, 95% CI 1.70-3.59). The risks of intussusception were missed in traditional SCCS analysis using unvaccinated infants as controls.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Traditional risk adjustments using data from unexposed cohorts in SCCS may not be appropriate for investigating the risk of intussusception where vaccination lowers the mean age of intussusception.</p>","PeriodicalId":45237,"journal":{"name":"INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF RISK & SAFETY IN MEDICINE","volume":" ","pages":"207-215"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9000,"publicationDate":"2024-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF RISK & SAFETY IN MEDICINE","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.3233/JRS-230049","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Background: The self-controlled case series (SCCS) is often used to monitor vaccine safety. The evaluation of intussusception after the rotavirus vaccine is complicated because the baseline rate varies with age. Time-varying baseline risk adjustments with data from unexposed cohorts are utilised. Self-controlled risk interval (SCRI), with a shorter observation period, can also mitigate the problem by studying a control period close to the risk period.
Objective: An Indian rotavirus vaccine has previously been studied using SCCS. The risk of intussusception in the high-risk windows (21 days after vaccination) was comparable to the background risk. The aim was to re-analyse data of an existing SCCS study using alternate statistical methods to examine vaccine safety.
Methods: We examined the mean age of intussusception in the vaccinated and the unvaccinated. We performed an SCRI analysis of the surveillance data from the SCCS study, limiting the observation period to 180 days. We analysed the time-to-intussusception from the last vaccination. Finally, we performed an SCCS analysis, excluding unvaccinated cases from the analysis.
Results: We found that the mean age of intussusception was significantly lower in the vaccinated (205 days) compared to the unvaccinated (223 days) (p-value 0.0026). The Incident Risk Ratio (IRR) on SCRI analysis was 1.62 (95% CI 1.07-2.44). There were significantly more intussusceptions in the first 30 days after vaccination compared to the next 30-day window. (92 vs 63 p-value = 0.009). We found that excluding unvaccinated infants from the SCCS analysis demonstrated significantly increased risk for the risk period 1-21 days after the 3rd dose (IRR 2.47, 95% CI 1.70-3.59). The risks of intussusception were missed in traditional SCCS analysis using unvaccinated infants as controls.
Conclusion: Traditional risk adjustments using data from unexposed cohorts in SCCS may not be appropriate for investigating the risk of intussusception where vaccination lowers the mean age of intussusception.
期刊介绍:
The International Journal of Risk and Safety in Medicine is concerned with rendering the practice of medicine as safe as it can be; that involves promoting the highest possible quality of care, but also examining how those risks which are inevitable can be contained and managed. This is not exclusively a drugs journal. Recently it was decided to include in the subtitle of the journal three items to better indicate the scope of the journal, i.e. patient safety, pharmacovigilance and liability and the Editorial Board was adjusted accordingly. For each of these sections an Associate Editor was invited. We especially want to emphasize patient safety.