Model for end-stage liver disease-dependent prognostic capacity of platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio following liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma

Abstract

Background

To improve liver organ allocation, the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score was adopted in candidates reflecting the severity of liver disease and the physical condition of patients. Inflammatory markers are prognostic factors for various cancers and play prognostic roles in patients after liver transplantation (LT) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Researchers focused more on pre-LT inflammatory markers, while the role of dynamic change of these inflammatory markers is still unknown. The purpose of this study was to estimate the prognostic value of pre-LT and post-LT inflammatory markers.

Material and methods

We collected the pre-LT complete blood count and the post-LT result with highest count of white blood cells within 48 h. Platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio and systemic immune-inflammation index were calculated, and their prognostic roles were analyzed for their MELD scores.

Results

This retrospective two-center cohort study enrolled 290 patients after LT for HCC. Multivariate analysis identified pre-LT PLR as independent risk factor for recurrence-free survival (RFS) [HR (95%CI): 1.002 (1.000–1.003), p = 0.023]. A high pre-LT PLR or post-LT PLR were associated with poorer RFS (p < 0.001 and p = 0.004, respectively). Based on the MELD scores, the pre-LT PLR value was able to predict the RFS in high MELD group (p < 0.001) but had no predictive power in low MELD group (p = 0.076). On the contrary, the post-LT PLR value was better to predict the overall RFS value in low MELD group (p = 0.007) but could not predict the overall RFS value in high MELD group (p = 0.136).

Conclusions

Both pre-LT PLR and post-LT PLR demonstrated prognostic value in patients following LT for HCC. Monitoring PLR values based on the MELD score can improve the predictive prognosis and more effectively guide the individual decisions for the postoperative intervention.