Optimal Timing of Business Conversion for Solvency Improvement

Pub Date : 2024-06-05 DOI:10.1007/s10255-024-1048-0
Peng Li, Ming Zhou
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Abstract

In this paper, we study the optimal timing to convert the risk of business for an insurance company in order to improve its solvency. The cash flow of company evolves according to a jump-diffusion process. Business conversion option offers the company an opportunity to transfer the jump risk business out. In exchange for this option, the company needs to pay both fixed and proportional transaction costs. The proportional cost can also be seen as the profit loading of the jump risk business. We formulated this problem as an optimal stopping problem. By solving this stopping problem, we find that the optimal timing of business conversion mainly depends on the profit loading of the jump risk business. A larger profit loading would make the conversion option valueless. The fixed cost, however, only delays the optimal timing of business conversion. In the end, numerical results are provided to illustrate the impacts of transaction costs and environmental parameters to the optimal strategies.

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改善偿付能力的最佳业务转型时机
本文研究了保险公司转换业务风险的最佳时机,以提高其偿付能力。公司的现金流按照跳跃扩散过程演变。业务转换方案为公司提供了一个将跳跃风险业务转移出去的机会。作为交换,公司需要支付固定和比例交易成本。比例成本也可以看作是跳跃风险业务的利润负荷。我们将这一问题表述为一个最优停止问题。通过求解这个停止问题,我们发现业务转换的最佳时机主要取决于跳跃风险业务的利润负荷。较大的利润负荷会使转换方案失去价值。然而,固定成本只会推迟业务转换的最佳时机。最后,我们提供了数值结果来说明交易成本和环境参数对最优策略的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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