Monte Carlo simulation study on the reliability of concrete-filled HSS beam-column design provisions

Abstract

Revisions were recently proposed to the way in which concrete-filled hollow structural section (HSS) members are handled in CSA S16. These revisions were based on previous research, comparisons to experiments, and a first-order reliability method analysis of existing provisions for compression and flexural members. In this paper, this topic is further expanded by using Monte Carlo Simulations (MCS) to determine the inherent reliability of the previous and new design rules for concrete-filled rectangular hollow section (RHS) and circular hollow section (CHS) beam-columns. A representative set of concrete-filled RHS and CHS members with variations in concrete strength, wall slenderness, effective length, and loading eccentricity are analyzed. Using MCS, the reliability index (β+) of each is determined over a range of live-to-dead load (L/D) ratios. Inherent β+ values are compared to the code-specified target (i.e., β+ = 3.0 per Annex B of CSA S16) and the CSA S16:19 and AISC 360-16 provisions.